RitualOfTheTrout

24 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Same, pretty gusty but not even a rumble of thunder. Looks like the line is rapidly weakening. Also seems to have split right before it hit my area which is a fairly common occurrence.

Spoke too soon, couple rumbles on the backend, nothing crazy though.

17 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

Just got through the leading edge. Haven’t lost power yet. Might have dodged a bit of a bullet 

 

and weirdly no lighting at all 

Same, pretty gusty but not even a rumble of thunder. Looks like the line is rapidly weakening. Also seems to have split right before it hit my area which is a fairly common occurrence.

1 hour ago, north pgh said:

Storms still back building a bit into Ohio and slowly shifting south. I think we will still get some of this moving in after 10:00. Probably not severe though. 
A nice light show going on to our north

Looks like a good call. Mother natures firework show lighting up the sky right now.

On 4/9/2024 at 11:11 AM, TheClimateChanger said:

I think my station runs a little high on the rooftop on sunny days, and also radiates much better than PIT, so it was probably somewhat exaggerated. Looking at 5-minute ASOS observations, looks like falls of 4-6F were common along and near totality. It did drop back to 70F at PIT later in the eclipse, from 71/72F before recovering to 74F.

Feeling the temperature drop in totality is something that goes understated as part of the overall experience, I knew it happened but until you feel it while the eclipse is happening can't really put words to it. 

Hard to imagine the temp didn't drop, unless there was influence from heat island effect or something.

4 hours ago, TSG said:

Thinking about how old I'll be for that one was an odd feeling. 52...

I hear you on this, I was looking at the maps (https://eclipsewise.com/eclipse.html) and really gets you thinking in timescales that illustrate just how brief a trip we get here even if all goes well and makes you appreciate getting to see this one. 2090s looking good for grandchildren though from an eclipse viewing travel perspective.. 

1 hour ago, TimB said:

Went up to northwest PA and watched the total eclipse. Interesting that the partial eclipse didn’t drop the temp at all at PIT, I thought that was expected even at 97% totality. Looks like Erie went 69 to 55 with the eclipse.

If I think about maybe not so odd PIT failed to drop temperature as expected. #Winter. 

3 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Did y’ins catch a glimpse of the sun today?

Headed up to Northern OH, SE of Cleveland based on the satellite trends at the time. Clouds were only whispy cirus type so near perfect for eclipse viewing.

It was pretty awesome, saw some stars, felt the temp drop, just jaw dropping watching it. Looked like there was some sort of flare or CME we could see.

Son is 5, hes been drawing pictures of it all night, safe to say this will be a strong memory. 

Kinda like a snow storm, now I want another one. 

On 4/5/2024 at 11:45 PM, blackngoldrules said:

Yeah, I'm thinking about heading up that way on Monday since I'll be off. I hope the clouds won't be too bad. Once in a lifetime experience. Why not. When the last one happened 7 years ago and I saw that the next one was going to be close, I told my wife that we should go up there for this one. Well, she's going to have to see it from Heaven but she'll also be with me in spirit to watch it.

Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk


 

Well, she's going to have a great view above the clouds, but Im sure she will be with you to experience it. I've never experienced a full eclipse, but they say its awe inspiring / spiritual thing to see. Its going to be close, but some clearing coming into eastern OH now. Trends seem to be leaning towards that moving faster, so maybe with a bit of luck we can get a favorable window to see it.

Never tracked clouds before, lol but got the GOES IR loop in refresh.

Absolutely gross outside this morning, 36 with cold rain / wind / graupel / snow / mud. 

Anyone planning to travel for Eclipse totality? Im tentatively thinking Meadville-ish area, get 2+ minutes of totality and a headstart South from all the people in Erie. Cloud cover not looking the best, but not total overcast. Hope it gets better as we close in.

On 3/31/2024 at 5:23 AM, buckeye said:

We live just about .5 miles inside the path of totality.    I have read that the closer you are to the center the longer it lasts.  I’ve also read that being right on the edge has advantages because of some unique effects can be witnessed that you don’t get in the center.   What would you do?  Drive further northwest towards center or stay put on the edge? 

https://www.timeanddate.com/eclipse/map/2024-april-8

This is a pretty cool map you can see totality times for any point and click location. Thinking of doing the midway between outer edge and centrrline of totality, you still get 2+ minutes, but likely avoid traffic nightmare closer to the centerline. 

Close to the edge you only get a few seconds so Id probably drive a little further to get more time. 

12 hours ago, jwilson said:

Looks like Ohio is this spring's Tornado Alley.

I feel like we tend to get our worst severe weather when it's not forecasted, so maybe this will bust.  Something to keep an eye on, however, as TimB noted it's been a decade since we've had a "Moderate" risk locally.

Yeah, it does seem like at least anecdotally I've gotten more damage from random Spring / Summer storms than these situations. Obviously not a reason to pay no mind to conditions later this afternoon though as the ingredients are there. Reading some discussions seems like the big jump in threat is due to expected recovery from this mornings storms. If that fails to materialize then that should put a cap on this, but also the chance it could expand further NE. NWS made mention of a special RAOB balloon as well this afternoon. I won't be mad if this busts though, not interested having any extra outdoor cleanup lol.

A major shift has been made to the convective outlook for
Tuesday afternoon/evening in collaboration with neighboring WFOs
and the Storm Prediction Center. A rare Moderate Risk has been
added to eastern OH and Enhanced Risk was added for western PA
(including much of Allegheny County PA) for the threat for
tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind gusts. What has
prompted this adjustment is the potential for recovery in the
wake of early-morning showers/storms in eastern OH. As a warm
front lifts north towards Erie, a surge of low-lvl moisture will
increase CAPE within a highly sheared environment. This
combination will favor supercells within the warm sector as a
strong low advances into the Ohio River Valley from the west.

After 2pm, the joint probability of 40kt of 0-6km shear and
1000 J/kg of surface-based CAPE increases to 80-90% (especially
for eastern OH). The probability significantly drops off
northeast of Pittsburgh, where models suggest cloud coverage
will remain and buoyancy will be limited.

The probability of severe storms could increase farther east
and north from the current most-likely outlook area if
sufficient heating and moisture advance into west-central PA
beyond where currently expected. A special RAOB will likely be
launched Tuesday afternoon at PIT to get a sense of atmospheric
changes in the wake of morning showers.

Overall summary: confidence is high that strong wind shear will
be available to organize storms. Destabilization in the wake of
the morning showers/storms will be the potential limiting
factor in storm severity Tuesday afternoon.

On 3/13/2024 at 10:13 PM, Burghblizz said:

We’d be panicking that shit was sliding east

After watching that reanalysis loop we still could have used a bit of a west trend. Meh.  

3 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said:

Euro still interested in the 18th-19th time period. Op showing some fantasy snow. 

Dang that would be fun. Im here for it lol

Fun day tracking squalls. Got hit several times, drove through a near whiteout around 430.

Moderate snow again now, winds ripping aswell.  Now that its dark starting to get some accumulation even on the road. Maybe close to half an inch since sunset. 

Well, didn't have to wait long, heavy snow. Light dusting on the ground. Expecting it to melt once it lets up, then a rinse and repeat of that throughout the day. 

4 hours ago, north pgh said:

Am I the only one looking forward to a few snow squalls tomorrow? 

Nope, I’m with you, hoping to see some heavy snow, even if it’s only brief. Gonna be cold and windy, might as well add some snow into the mix while it’s still possible.

26 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Impressive lightning with this cluster of storms. High of 68 each of the last two days IMBY.

Yeah, pretty impressive thunderstorm for Feb standards. Lots of lightening. 

21 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

All in all, we've done incredibly well with snowfall this winter with only 6.5" less than Erie to date, per the official observations.

Grading on a curve now to get a "good" winter.  In all seriousness though, it helps getting over it that it was a bad almost everywhere. It's not like we missed a couple good storms and everywhere else is celebrating a blockbuster. 

A couple of long shot windows in March for a one hit wonder maybe showing up. I'd say I'm done and ready for Spring.. but here I am.

Maybe a few thunderstorms possible, looks like a pretty dynamic front coming through. At least we should get some wind. 

On 2/17/2024 at 1:35 PM, KPITSnow said:

I ended around 3.5. Sucks that literally 3 miles south got close to double. 

On 2/17/2024 at 7:58 PM, Gordo74 said:

Does it REALLY suck when the forecast less than 48 hours ago was half of what you actually got?

I guess this is a case of two different things can be true. This was a nice event, we got little improvements over the 24hrs leading up to the storm, had that crazy narrow band of 7-10 inches, and most ended up with double what was expected just a day or two prior.

Being right on the edge of that band was a little frustrating, glad I got under it, but literally 5 miles away got almost double what I did so from the perspective of watching radar to get it to bump just a little further North did suck a bit. 

I was a bit surprised driving to work this morning going through areas that got nailed by the band that snow cover was already pretty well whittled away, late Feb sun doing the dirty work. Things really start to go down hill quickly now in the regard, time to root for overnight snows or a biggie and if we get anything else enjoy watching it fall vs having realistic hopes for longevity.

17 hours ago, PghPirates27 said:

Ended up with a bit over 2”. 
 

anything in the pipeline coming up ?

Looks pretty quiet the next 7 days at least. A few transient cold shots, maybe we gut lucky and time something up.

Getting some lake enhancement action, heavy snow and wind. 

13 minutes ago, north pgh said:

4.25 here. Still snowing lightly. Another small batch in central Allegheny County about to come through. Could put me to 5. This made up for last week and came while we were awake.  Nice!

That last batch not as heavy, but nice dendrites, probably high ratio stuff.

Looks like a little over 3 here, might make it to 4. Not bad. Timing was good too, just after sunset helped with marginal temps at onset and I can still get a good nights rest. 

Starting to shift back to the South. Glad I got to see the good rates for awhile. 

Getting the goods now, best rates of the night. 

6 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

Well at least on the edge of it. I’m on the Hampton Allison park border sI about two miles too far north 

It keeps tickling me, getting good dendrites now at least but waxing and waneing in intensity. Roads starting to cave.