mob1
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Posts posted by mob1
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Very strong couplet embedded in the line NE of Riverton WY.
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8 minutes ago, mayjawintastawm said:
That's just south of my house. I'm at work now but hairy indeed. That area is basically a big suburb nested within a high-tech megaplex with multiple malls, etc.
There's a pretty insane hail core with that storm as well. Wild couple of days for CO.
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Lots of gust reports in the high 70s from that line of storms approaching Alva.
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Tornado in progress east of Fort Stockton.
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Cloud tops are warming a bit, but I think this might be pretty normal during the daytime and is not necessarily indicative of gradual weakening. Either way, the stage has already been set for a devastating storm surge and even if the storm does weaken upon landfall it won't make a huge difference in that regard.
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2 hours ago, WhirlingWx said:
The storms near and south of Wichita Falls look like they're building south, they might impact northern DFW in a few hours at that rate. Might temper the threat for areas north of Dallas - Fort Worth later on, but still unsure.
Definitely. I'd be very surprised if the threat doesn't shift significantly south and/or is tempered altogether.
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10 percent hatched tornado proba for Dallas.
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That cell near Centralia looks like it's about to go off.
Edit; it kind of petered out. Stroms are having a tough time becoming surface-based.
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Morning convection is pretty scattered, might not help alleviate mixing issues most models show. Interesting day ahead, parameters warrant the moderated risk but it's one of those days that can easily yield very little with the capping issues advertises (and whatever does develop might struggle to become surface based).
On the flip side of this, spacing likely won't be an issue and if cells can take advantage of the environment they can go bunkers. Definitely high bust potential, but can also end up being a big day if just a few cells can really get going.
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Looks like something is developing east of Gainesville, could probably use a TW soon.
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1 minute ago, andyhb said:
Large and potentially violent tornado near Covington TN.
Tornado emergency for that storm now. Looks like it'll hit a fairly populated area on the south side of Covington.
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I hope there are no structures in the oath of that western TN tornado, velocities have been absolutely bonkers.
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That cell near Wynne AR has a beautiful structure
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3 minutes ago, mob1 said:
That cell near Hedrick IA looks nasty
Now confirmed TOG. If it can outrun the line to it's west a bit, it'll be trouble.
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That cell near Hedrick IA looks nasty
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
70 mph gust at DVN