2018-2019 Great Lakes / Ohio Valley snowfall contest -- enter by end of Tuesday Dec 4th in Lakes/Ohio Valley Posted 4 hours ago · Report reply There isn't really a big range in the forecasts, and having the large dump at MLI, PIA and ORD already tends to even out the range of further forecast amounts. Looking at yours, you just went a bit lower at a lot of the locations and yet all three of your tiebreakers are above the averages too. The only real outlier forecasts I can see from anyone would be the higher and lower ends for CLE so there's a question mark placed over the lake effect potential there, I suppose some might be thinking it will be so cold that Lake Erie will freeze early and limit CLE that way, others may be thinking it will be so cold there will be a lot of snow from Lake Huron getting all the way across anyway. Some may have reasoned that while cold, the flow will be WSW which keeps squalls away from CLE (but limits them for YXU and GRR also). The contest may be won or lost with the CLE forecast since it has such a wider range than many of the others. This Tillsonburg site may not be a perfect match for YXU, they seemed to avoid one snow squall event in November that I'm sure gave 5-10 cms at YXU. But their long term averages are only marginally smaller.