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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    i dont think they wanted to put the 24-36s up but they had to mesh it with BOX. We can analyze all of the model runs until we're blue in the face, but it's hard to pin down those deformation bands until the event gets cranking. I still think it looks best for that ORH-LWM-PSM corridor, but we'll see how it plays out. I liked 10-14" here last night and GYX has me in that now. High bust potential either way.
  2. dendrite
    Tappan zee swan dives that run
  3. dendrite
    we've had ddos attacks. But yeah, we are being pounded in general right now.
  4. dendrite
    The hires models (4kms and 10km RGEM) are just alright up here. 12km NAM, GFS, and Euro are solid. It's hard to go against the consistent euro/eps.
  5. dendrite
    we're doing everything we can. I know it sucks. At least there's almost never issues while the event is occurring. The refreshing during model runs is insane here.
  6. dendrite
    Those algorithms aren't accounting for compaction.
  7. dendrite
    no. An algorithm does.
  8. dendrite
    Those SREF plume snow estimates are horrible.
  9. dendrite
    Looks like the deformation will make it to NYC-W MA-C NH this NAM run.
  10. dendrite
    NYC/E NJ crushed 18-21hr.
  11. dendrite
    SREFs were sweet for the Lakes Region. NAM looks pretty good so far. Nice for NYC.
  12. dendrite
    I agree...it'll be real. I like it just west of BOS though. We'll see.
  13. dendrite
    I have trouble believing BOS will get suckerholed like that.
  14. dendrite
    EPS mean has 1.50" liquid along the city. I wouldn't want to be in their shoes right now.
  15. dendrite
    6z MAV is puking 8's in the snow cats everywhere for 12z tomorrow and 12z Wed. I'll give the old MOS credit...it was piling on the 6s and 8s for awhile before the deterministic models had this. 0z MEX has an 8 for Fri too...
  16. dendrite
    It's tough to trust the 12km NAM when the 4km NAM doesn't match it. It's more like the RGEM....ORH-BED-PWM for the deform jack. Ouch for WNE-NYC too.
  17. dendrite
    lol...first thing I looked at when I woke up was the 6z NAM. So much for consistency. NAM/GFS are a nice hit up here.
  18. dendrite
    1.50"ish near MHT-ASH
  19. dendrite
    2.00" QPF of love.
  20. dendrite
    Nice for CNE and NYC too.
  21. dendrite
    East tick is real...thru 30h now.
  22. dendrite
    Still feeling the 14-18" up here? I'm leaning 10-14" right now. These E/ESE ticks with the mid level centers have me thinking the best goodies stay to my SE. I'd like to be at my old place in Auburn for this.
  23. dendrite
    2"+ liquid for you on the GGEM.
  24. dendrite
    You look solid on all of these runs tonight. I wanna see you pull through with a 30".
  25. dendrite
    For those who get 30" of fluff...just remember it will look like 10" in about 3 days.
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