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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. When was the last time we had 4 Ninas in a row?
  2. So if I'm reading this correctly cluster-1 with the highest percentage supports this statement below? Cluster-4 has it too but not so much for the southeast "If the Hudson Bay vortex ends up being two separate areas as is hinted at, that could open the door for more cold air damming to sneak in east of the mountains." Not that it is any more likely as 31% isn't a fantastic chance to start with but decent among 4 cluster possibilities.
  3. GaWx, Do you know when we would expect to see the wind shift/reversal if it does actually occur? As always, great synthesis on the upcoming forecast
  4. The yield is not much better for mby though.
  5. Agree here. They do seem to can-kick on many occasions but precise timing at the long range is not a banner component for them
  6. Please look at the composite ensembles for the other major LR models. Criminy folks
  7. That almost sounds like a troll post. And believe me, I'm a dreaded sun angle guy. However I'm also astute enough to know sun-angle has little bearing on winter storm occurrence opportunities. At least during the season. It is more an issue with staying power for snow cover and the like. By the way in our red neck of the woods it's not really relevant until about 2/15 or so.
  8. I caution folks on the northwest trend. This is a transient state. Wobbles and full on shifts can and do happen.
  9. Give it time. Headed for a week of warm and yuck but guessing we'll be looking at future opportunities by the end of next week
  10. Almost towel time unless the passage of this front changes model proggs
  11. Yes. Yes I can. Hint: Look at the states of Montana and Idaho vs the Dakotas.
  12. gfs 0z OP putting out some ridiculous stuff...but the fun kind
  13. I think this big drink is coming with a chaser
  14. Don't lean on the OP runs this far out. Good or bad
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