CentralNC

1 hour ago, StantonParkHoya said:

How common is ZR this late in the season?

This one was bad in my neck of the woods.  in-situ CAD storm

48 minutes ago, Shad said:

Everybody that has a brain knows that hes a joke.......dude constantly busts over and over

And if you disagree with him, he just calls you names like a 4th grader.

Thanks for the pictures, guys.

Went for a walk and we have some very light snow in western Forsyth county.

22 hours ago, UnionCountyNCWX said:

I honestly don't believe it's possible this year. I was all in on this past weekends storm, as it was the only time all the players were on the table at roughly the right positions, but of course nothing went right and we heated for some nice cold rain. There's nothing about this pattern coming up that right now says we should be excited minus maybe getting few days below normal temps.. And by the time we get the "relaxation" for something that lasted a couple of days, we're gonna be in mid February.

It is nice to see the rain though, we all needed it. But tomorrows storm is probably gonna be the most "exciting" thing this winter.

At least it's something to watch.  Last year there was hardly any storms to keep track of anywhere east of the rockies.

5 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

There is no clock anymore. Only a dark, snow less void.

Just remember in this chaotic flow, don't trust any model outside of 7 days.  Heck maybe even 5 days.

4 hours ago, wncsnow said:

And who can forget the super clipper/lee trough that dumped almost a foot in the South Mountains? I remember going to bed thinking we might get a dusting to an inch and woke up to 6 or 7 inches of powder. 

Definitely remember that one, even here in Forsyth county.  Was supposed to be a nothing burger.  Surprised school systems.

One of my favorite storms

Just now, Amos83 said:

 

14 Years for me! I was around for a year or two at Eastern WX as well but I rarely post anymore, just lurk

Same here.

7 hours ago, eyewall said:

Oh I can't wait!

Me too.  Will be in PA/NY next week and will enjoy this trof.

We had snow/sleet mix predawn at my location.  In keeping with this winter, I did not get to actually see it. I would call it a solid trace.... 

I don't need to remind most of you that 92-93 was a snoozefest until 3/12/1993.  Things can change in a hurry.  Not to that level mind you but I am not giving up yet.

1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Eek 

 

Holy crap that is pretty bad.

I'll drink to that!

3 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

CMC is into the Great Lakes, lol

It could end up being right.  I don't trust the GFS until it merits otherwise.

1 hour ago, olafminesaw said:

I'm growing somewhat concerned about the wind threat across the Piedmont. While sustained winds diminish, the HHHR and the hires Nam have gusts over 60 mph for much of the region, the GFS in the 40-60 mph range, and the Euro in the 30-40 mph range. There must be some synoptic scale features at play. Usually the HRRR does a good job of picking up on these, but we may not have a clear idea until tomorrow morning what's coming our way.

I'm at least a little hesitant to jump on that bandwagon.  Those winds often get overdone but no doubt there will be some power outages in the piedmont.

Strong CAT 4 this morning.  No bueno for Central FL

14 minutes ago, yotaman said:

Big rains in my area today. Already at 1.94" and steady rain is still falling. This puts me at 5.84" for the month.

We finally got about 1 inch this morning.  First significant rain of the month.

I went from a 90% chance of rain today to a ZERO percent change in the course of 1 forecast cycle.  RAH has had a rough time predicting rain in my area this summer.

The storm I will always remember is 2/18/1979. (President's day storm 1).  I was a freshman at Catawba College in Salisbury.  Storm was on a Sunday.  We had a stout NE wind even on Saturday and very cold temps for that time of the year.  Storm was way underforecast in amounts.  When I woke up Sunday morning, we had heavy snow already (arrived before forecast) and temps in the 20's.  We had heavy snow until mid-afternoon on the 18th and by noon temps were already in the low teens and the wind stayed strong from the NE all day.  Just incredible cold temps, wind, and snow for that time of year.  We ended up with 9 inches but of course DC and BALT areas got way more than that.  We had a stout warmup the following week so that most of the snow was gone by Friday.

https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/109/7/1520-0493_1981_109_1542_tpdsof_2_0_co_2.xml#:~:text=On 18–19 February 1979,the intensity of the event.

https://www.inquirer.com/news/blizzard-presidents-day-philadelphia-washington-atlantic-city-20190218.html

Snow rain mix in Lewisville.  Wont last long

36 minutes ago, PantherJustin said:

I hope…. 29/25 Here at 4800’ SnowShoe WV…. Consistent Flizzard since about 530 … Car Topper so far atleast ….. hoping someone down there in our forum gets a surprise 

you all should do pretty good up there.

3 minutes ago, 85snowline said:

WBTV was about it last night but this morning AL Conklin said maybe the mountains would see a FEW flakes mix in with rain. Lolol I'm over this winter... unless something big comes our way I am signing off. 

I remind everyone that Feb 1993 was much the same way.  Winter had been written off.  We had several spring like days in Feb and it had been a ho-hum winter over all. Only to see a bomb go off on 3/12-3/13.  I'll never forget it.  Even though it was not a huge deal at my location, the met aspects of it were truly amazing.

Yeah, it probably over....but we have to keep our eyes open.

31 and zr here in Lewisville.  Numerous reports of accidents

14 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

I really think around day break tomorrow there could be issues around the I77-I40 corridor. I know it's not looking like much but with temps as could as they were this morning and the lastest hrrr showing temps right around 30-31 even the lightest amounts of drizzle/sleet could cause issues on bridges and overpasses. To me this a tricky situation because even the slightest amount of ice can catch people off guard especially when the news says expect zero issues on the roadways. 

Agree 100%