CarlislePaWx

I'll be thinking of you as I throw an extra log on the fire.

Laurels look ok depending on how early in the day you reach them. Forecast is precip starts as snow well before dawn then switches to rain with a forecast high in Johnstown of 46. There is no mention of freezing rain in their forecast at this point. Around here I think any freezing rain at the very start will be very short-lived as temps will warm up rapidly as precip gets going. As you can read CTP not even mentioning ZR for my area at all, just rain. That could be because we are too far out for them to accurately call for a several-hour period of ZR when we're 72+ hours out from the start.

Hi again, guys, this time from back home in Carlisle. Can anyone measuring around my general vicinity (Adams/Cumberland/Dauphin) tell me how much snow you got overnight from the CCB? It seems from reading that between one and two more inches fell in some spots but I'd like a more specific measurement, if possible. If I pick one inch then my total snow storm total was 10.0". I was also able to melt down the entire event, and as djr noted just above, it was a very, very hefty 1.74" of liquid! That's huge for a winter event that had virtually no pure liquid rainfall. My estimated breakdown using basic 10:1 for the snow portion is 1.00" with 0.70" liquid from melted sleet, and about 0.04" of freezing rain and/or plain rain. Looking forward to sharing the next storm from here in Carlisle. Thanks to all for the chance to follow the storm from down south. One final note. This storm brings my total liquid for 2018 up to 55.42" which is close to 15" above average YTD. Got a shot at cracking the elusive 60" mark for annual precip if the wet pattern continues through to the end of the year.

Haha!!! It’s my son who’s the attendant. We’re currently flying back from palm beach to Atlanta. I’m the eye doctor (now retired).

Hi all. I’m reporting in from 35,000 feet where the outdoor temp is a brisk -53F. I don’t know the wind chill for 550mph and this temp. as for Carlisle my wife reports between 8.8” and 9.0” before sleet. She reports heavy sleet now. What a day and night. I feel for all of you who had to deal with the negative side of the event...the traffic nightmares!! Stay safe all.

Unbelievable. Wife just measured 6.8" on the snowboard. Sent me a pic. Looks like January. Temp holding now at 27.7. Off to the airport. Talk to you all later.

Wife just measured 4.0" in Carlisle with mod to hvy finer snow falling. Temp/dew 27.7/22. Google maps shows red everywhere with many crashes and some closures. Unbelievable.

HAHA! Hi Jeff. I think I remember you saying you would be moving back to our area. Well, welcome back! I'm coming back home tomorrow morning after spending tonight at my son's in Atlanta. He's a Delta flight attendant living there and vacationing with me now down here. I've been enjoying your reports. You and cashtown will be great for south mountain reports.

Reporting from Florida via my wife in Carlisle she reports "heavy flurries" at the moment in disbelief! Temp beginning to drop but still huge separation between temp and dp of 30/15. That should get me down at least to 28 or 27.

Hi All! I'm back too. I've been reading all the posts while on my annual vacation down in Florida (near Port St. Lucie) where temps have been in the sunny low to mid 80's every day...lol. I'm scheduled to fly home tomorrow evening! As much as I want to see snow falling I might choose to wait it out in Atlanta at my son's place and return Friday morning. Depending on road conditions tomorrow evening I don't want to make my ride have to drive unnecessarily. Like many have said I look forward to the upcoming winter season and lots of storm discussion, etc.

Back at 6:10 snow squall #2 moved in and through the area. Heavy snow with huge flakes for about five minutes. With the wind and temp around 37 degrees it really did feel like mid-winter. I wonder if we're on pace to set a record for the most number of days in the month (April) where a trace or more of snow was observed? I've lost count, but certainly it's been at least six different times / days when snow was seen flying through the air. Did you guys know that Minneapolis and surrounding areas recorded between 12 and 24" of snow over the weekend? Blizzard warnings were issued as winds howled sustained at 25 gusting to 40mph with near zero visibility. My son was on a layover there the night before, and they got as far as the plane being de-iced before the snow got too heavy and visibilities dropped to below 0.125 miles...which in turn shut down the airport. He said even the city itself seemed caught off-guard by the magnitude of the snow. That upper air energy and pocket of arctic air is I think what ended up triggering our squalls today.

While driving back from Mechanicsburg to Carlisle I went through an awesome snow squall! In April!! Unreal. Temp dropped to 36. This is the third consecutive Tuesday in April that I have seen snow falling. Gotta love it.

The interesting thing about yesterday's snow was that it snowed non-stop for nearly 12 hours, from 2:00pm to 1:00am this morning. The heaviest rates occurred late afternoon when for a period of time it approached moderate intensity. The tops of my cars had patchy accumulations of a few tenths and my board maybe had around 0.2" at one point, but melting was occurring throughout which pretty much precluded accumulations anywhere else including the lawn. At times the flakes were great sizes, even during the mid-evening, but the intensity overall was lacking. The past 6 weeks have been incredible with snow. Just wish the whole thing could have been time-shifted back 4 to 5 weeks earlier. Time to open arms up to spring for real by this weekend.

Still snowing....temp now down to 36. Pavement and sidewalks are now wet. Dew Point up to 26. Steady snow, almost the "heaviest" the light snow has been thus far.

It's snowing here in Carlisle right now as it has picked up over the last 15 minutes from flurries to steady light. Radar looks fairly impressive. I wonder if this will just keep right on going through tonight as temps slowly fall towards freezing. At this point I wouldn't be surprised to pick up a coating by morning. Temp right now is 38, but dew point is 23, so plenty of evaporational cooling potential still.

There are still 7 more runs to go until the event. I'm not giving up on a northward shift again until after the 12Z run tomorrow. As Blizz said last night, remember 3 days ago?

3K looks like heavy snow over the southern third of PA! Seems to be backing up 12K nicely.

MDT receives 9"+ in 7 hours. Kuchera output gives 11:1 ratios to MDT thanks to the fresh arctic air. If I can beat 9.5" with this it will surpass April 6, 1982 and be one day later.

WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!! and this is Kuchera!!

No worries...not picking on you. Just exchanging thoughts. It's all good.

That CPC map sends shivers up and down my spine....and I'm not referring to the much below temps outlook...haha. LSV is almost perfectly in the center of that circle, geometrically-speaking. Stunning. I disagree with this storm being a repeat of Sun/Mon. The high temps last Sunday were close to 60 degrees and we had to drop 28 degrees diurnally to reach freezing that night. That won't be the case this time as the arctic front will move through us later Friday ensuring a much more rapid drop off in temps, and temps dropping below 32 and most likely remaining below freezing during the storm on Saturday. An arctic air mass is moving in for this storm while we did not have one present last weekend. Lastly, latitude played a major role with snow accumulations with the last storm as the further north you went the higher the amounts became. Southern border counties got less than 2" generally. This upcoming storm, as depicted on the CPC map will have its heavy axis from southwest to northeast, so the real southerners have a serious shot at serious accumulations this time around. Finally, my winds this afternoon during the height of the peak winds were frequently gusting to near 40mph, with the absolute peak of 46.2 mph occurring right at 4:00pm. This gust was the highest gust I have recorded this calendar year thus far. While walking my dog around 1:00pm I thought I was going to get blown over a few times with those crazy gusts. What a week of weather this has been so far, with the best yet to come??

Shhhhhh!! Don't tell anyone....I just grabbed this from the MA sub... After reading several pages of their posts before I found this it was clear they were concerned over the dreaded "north trend". DC went from 18" down to 3" in one run. Haven't we seen this before for us too? I do wish we all could share the love with this, but for them, and April, everything really does have to come together perfectly to have any hope, especially the event occurring overnight.

Friendly reminder, now that we're on daylight saving time, 12Z is 8:00AM local time. Does anyone have a euro snowmap from 12Z they can post? Very interested in seeing the north trend results.

Nope...that's from 0Z. Discussion is about 12Z run shift north. Had no idea DC was 18" in overnight run. If the 0Z came true that would have to be the biggest April snowstorm in DC history I would imagine.

That's a major improvement over 6Z, not that 6Z was all that bad. No one is talking about the sudden snow in the forecast for tomorrow night into Friday. Where did that come from? MDT showed about 1" of snow tomorrow night by Friday morning. That would make this 3 more snow events between now and next Tuesday, which is insane for April. BTW, thanks so much for using Kuchera!!!