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2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

How does it rotate when it’s flat? 

Like a record.  Except the 300 ft ice wall in Antarctica that no one ever flys over. Because there’s continents on the other side.

Ended up with about 5.25" in Odenton, MD. Heavy bonus bump came through last night to add another .5".

3 minutes ago, WesternFringe said:

Despite the radar returns (I live in a well-documented radar hole that is shaped like an isosceles triangle), it has been snowing all day here.  Only have about 1.5” to show for it, but I will take a cold smoke snow for 24 hrs straight storm all day every day.  NFL playoff football and a roaring wood stove and good beer and herbs and snow.  Life is good, y’all!

That’s good for La Plata!

24 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

 But it won’t melt..whatever it is…that seems like a distinct possibility 

There’s a 30% chance that the snow rain or ice will accumulate to somewhere between 0.1 and 3.0 inches, but only a 50% chance of that.

Coming down hard in Annapolis, but not sticking to the roadways.  32 degrees.

Man, I feel like I just read a script from a cross over episode of Gray’s Anatomy/Dallas/Dynasty/The love boat.  Who’s going to shoot McDreamy?  JR?  Will Cliff Barnes take the First mate’s offer from Captain Stubing? 

5 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I need an enigma machine to figure out that start time map.

Or the 1994 version of Microsoft paint to redraw the lines.

25 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

If it’s right I do

Does Mexico have a forecasting model like the MFS or something?

1 hour ago, Jersey Andrew said:

It’s supposedly the largest documented storm to hit DC and Virginia. George Washington and Thomas Jefferson claimed in their diaries that snow reached a depth of 3 feet region wide. Hard to verify this though.

They measured snow in perches back then, not feet.  Must be a forgery.

6 minutes ago, eduggs said:

People keep failing this simple math problem - I think as kind of a defense mechanism. Precipitation is 3 days out, not 5 days. At hour 36 we will already know if the trof is sharp enough to work out. The key features are well within short range now.

Then we’ll know that the “trof” is not sharp enough on Thursday at 12:00 a.m., 36 hours before the estimated start, and then it will be over.  I will remember that.  Thank you. 

16 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

5 days?

On Monday it was projected to begin on Sunday if I recall correctly.

14 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

It starts in about 72 hours. Well, it was going to.

Ok.  So 96 hours out it’s looks great, 72 hours out it a dud?  Seems to me like the models rule the weather forecasting universe until they’re completely wrong.  But then right again 48 hours out.

So, storm is cancelled 5 days before it was supposed to start?  That’s almost as ridiculous as saying we’re going to get a HECS 6 days before it’s supposed to start isn’t it?

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Now is the time we wish we had a kicker closing in. 

Just not Chris Blewitt.

3 minutes ago, NattyBo said:

Well considering what the boomers left us, there’s a lot of editing that needs to be done.

 

Unironically agree that our cohort is more intelligent and worldly than anyone born before 1982, thanks

Luckily I was born in 1980 so I'm not a millennial, and also can't be easily pigeon holed into Generation X.  So I can offend both generations with mean jokes.

BTW--  45 in Annapolis, Dew Point 24, Barometer 29.97, and mostly sunny.

Just now, NattyBo said:

Lmao, when all else fails, blame millennials?

Well, they are re-writing the rules of civilization, which makes sense because they are more intelligent and worldly than anyone born before 1982.

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

People act like it has only recently become an “issue”. Snow produces exactly the same problems as it did 30 years ago.

No, its actually become a more serious issue in the past 10 years or so because some millennials are now old enough to creep into the public school bus driving profession.

I almost got blown over in the parking lot of my office last night at about 9pm in Annapolis.  Had to a sustained gust over 30 mph+.  Hadn't trouble getting the door to my jeep closed.  Gale warning for last night and this morning.

13 minutes ago, Ji said:

isnt it about trends now and not the final forecast?

I've always taken the position that it's more about the post-storm measureables than anything.  Sure, its nice to enjoy the forecasts and the trends, but models aren't forecasts or trends, they're tools.  Tools that are used to create forecasts, and which trend in certain directions as the storm event nears.  But I caution you--  Models are not forecasts because they reveal nothing about the future and do not purport to predict the future, so do not fall into that trap.

1 hour ago, JakkelWx said:

Something went wrong. I only received about a flurry and a half of snow instead of the 20 inches of rain like was promised. 

Models are not forecasts.  They're tools.

2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

We’ve been in the game. But we are the good kid the coach keeps but the closest he ever gets to any real game action is passing the water bottles down to the kids who are playing while he cheers from the end of the bench.

More like the third string left guard on his senior night who is told by his coach that'll he'll play a series of downs in the 4th quarter, but when the 4th quarter rolls around the coach says "sorry kid, we actually have to try to win this game and your third string, so I would have to fire myself if I put you in now."

Then the coach turns to your relatives in the stands who came to see you play, and gives them the middle finger.

18 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

If only it was traveling at a 40 degree angle relative to the magnetic poles, then we would have gotten even more rain.

But if the angle was based on the geographic poles, i.e. the ones at the top and bottom of the planet, it would be all snow.  Too bad the meteorologists, professional forecasters, cartographers, spherical engineers, and Topper Shutt cannot agree on the proper location.

So based on my analysis, and the various vectors relevant to current atmospheric conditions and trends (past, present, and future), I believe that the precipitation shield is traveling at approximately a 30 degree northeasterly angle relative to the magnetic poles (not accounting for flat map distortion or curvature of the earth).  Therefore, based on the observable rates and airborne buoys engineered for data collection purposes, in addition to geometric conditions, the immediate D.C. area, including areas slightly north, south, east, and west at varying distances from a central radius, should expect somewhere in the area of 16" to 20" inches. 

Of rain.

Flurries in Annapolis.  Too bad the radar shows that the precipitation will end in about an hour or two.

32 and snow has more or less stopped in odenton.