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Posts posted by kurtstack
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20 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:
Mean:
BWI: 16.2
DCA: 11.1
IAD: 18.3
RIC: 8.4
Median:
BWI: 15.0
DCA: 9.8
IAD: 17.0
RIC: 7.6
AWESOME Thanks!
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Hey guys just stopping in to say hi and let ya know i'll be helping to reel in this monster qpf snowmachine this Wednesday! It sure seems like its been a while for one of these! May your decks be filled with snow to the handrail by Thursday! CHEERS!
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It would be interesting to see the average of all the submitted forecasts for each location and track how it performs as well.
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10 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:
Good to see you posting. You haven’t changed that avatar since I reaped you years ago
Once a zombie always a zombie
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BWI: 25"
DCA: 19"
IAD: 29"
RIC: 14"SBY - 14"
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This cutoff low setup to the south Feb 27 on this mornings GFS is the best setup I've seen this winter. Not saying much and analyzing a long range model, but hell if we get a cutoff like that in that location I think we have a fairly decent shot at a significant snowstorm. Lots of details to work out but not much else on the radar at this point.
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between vday and pday we will finally will get a decent snowfall and salvage ehats left of winter.
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4 hours ago, mappy said:
yes. you know damn well your posts stir up the weenies. dont act like youre not up to no good here.
Haven't been on much this year, but some things never change.
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burke, va 22015
12/11 - 0.2"
12/16 - 0.2"
1/7 - 1.4"
1/18 - 0.2"
total: 2.0"
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BWI: 11"
DCA: 8"
IAD: 14"
RIC: 5"
Tiebreaker SBY: 3" -
Well the GFS twins keep plenty of cold around through the end of the run... maybe something can time up right in the next couple weeks.
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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:
Not everyone here is of sound mind.
Understatement of the winter right there!
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This is a thread the needle event. I think we will see the old windshield washer effect on the models with a variety of tracks next few days, but as always we will need a little luck to land on the right side of the boundry. We have had a decent amount of luck this winter so monday may just pan out.
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This has become more of a therapy session thread at this point.
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2 minutes ago, Hyphnx said:
13 and a dream
e8 has a white dot over Ji's house.
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if o recall correctly commutegeddon was a march snowfall and my temps when living in arlington never went below freezing yet 7-8” of snow stuck to the roads...
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3” in burke light snow falling
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20 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:
Hopefully Friday February 29th
February 29th 2024. Serious question though, we have a feb 29 coming up in 2020. Have we ever had snow on Feb 29?
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4 minutes ago, Ji said:6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:lol- it's HEAVY zr. Haven't seen a panel like this for a long time
Extremely disappointing run
Ice-skating on sidewalks is always a good time.
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moderate snow in burke a nice coating on everything. Already beat my expectations for snow.
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1 hour ago, Bob Chill said:
I'm with psu on the next couple weeks to maybe a full month. Shorter wavelengths and tighter spacing in Feb changes the storm landscape. A shutout pattern is always a deathblow but even flawed in Feb can work and early March too. Imho- we're more likely to have a good to great pattern than a continuation of what we have now. The PNA oscillates far more often than locking in for a month+. I strongly believe the PNA will shift out of hostile mode this month.
I'll just throw this out there and if I bust then bump troll the hell out of me... by next weekend we will be tracking a potential large storm and also will be staring down the barrel of a good to maybe even great North American upper level pattern for the foreseeable future. I predict many uncancel posts and lots of optimism for getting a flush hit from a nice coastal.
wow! I dont often see you go out in a limb like that Bob. Anyway here’s hoping that limb is a strong one. For the sake if the emotions in this subforum i really do hope you are onto something!
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Time to hug the JMA
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3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:
Stronger primary to the NW and rain.
This is exactly what I would expect with these types of storms, but it's worth tracking because it's all we have on the menu at this point...
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7” in burke with steady light snow falling. radar and models suggest 1-3” more may be on the way.
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December Banter 2020
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
There will be some happy weenies with this qpf blast wednesday! Best of luck to all those playing the snow jackpot roulette! CHEERS!