tamarack

Much different character, too. Dry cold pow with temps one might expect in a January blizzard - numerous low max records were set. Down at NYC it was the most wintry April snowstorm in their 155-year POR. (Embarrassing for the mets at CAR as well. Like almost everyone, they expected a sharp right turn OTS and were forecasting cold/windy/flurries. Instead, they got 26.3", at the time their biggest on record.)

Forecasts pegged the jack area essentially perfectly and did well elsewhere. Once the S+ ended before 7 yesterday morning, I figured that the forecast for here (12-18) would bust, but the wet 0.7" (0.11" LE) pushed the storm total to 13.2" - another score. It's our 3rd greatest April snow here (18.5" on 4-5/07; 15.1" on 1-2/11) and 4th anywhere (17.0" on 7-8/82 in Fort Kent). Spring total of 40.2" tops the 37.9" in 2007, a mark I thought to be unbeatable.

Probably up to 10" by now. Had 8" midnight-7 AM then maybe 1/2" 7-noon as snow was light or "is anything falling?" levels. Light-moderate at present (2:45), temp 31, gusts into the 20s. 50/50 chance of reaching the 12-18 forecast, but only the 4th double-digit storm in our 26 Aprils.

This is what I thought to which you were responding. (Boldface mine). DirecTV is down - probably the dish on the roof is packed but I'm not interested in climbing up there atm. Also waiting to see the plow before I run the blower, and unless we get into the good bands, I may wait until late afternoon. My machine is a bit under powered, but it will handle 10-12" okay. And those were localized outages, This is widespread.

Didn't CMP outages reach 400k on Dec 18? Nobody in our general region had power; we ran the genny just over 100 hours. Had 8.5" and 0.87" LE by 7 AM, maybe 1/2" since as a stripe of nothing from the NH line to Newport was parked along Rt 2 for several hours. It's moved a bit north but still only light SN here, with occasional gusts approaching 30. Trees are loaded up to about 30 feet then wind-emptied above there. May yet reach the low end of the 12-18 forecast.

>30" for Saddleback and Sugarloaf.

GYX table of 90%/expected/10% still shows lots of uncertainty: PWM #: 0/6/20 ASH #: >1/5/16 Less of a spread at Farmington: 13/18/25.

If that were the case, there might be plenty of rooms due to all the cancellations.

Looks like something by Jackson Pollack. Near 40 here with a raw breeze.

Surprised at the C for temps. Here it was the mildest DJF and DJFM of 26 cold seasons. Pack was mediocre but the coming snowstorm will almost certainly push the total into AN territory, possibly well into AN.

Probably the strongest blizzard winds I've seen since April 1982 in Fort Kent. Our rescue Lab mix from TX, who had arrived here on Feb 4, was utterly terrified. However, the strongest sustained winds here were last Dec 18th; probably blew down at least 5 times as many fir as any other event here.

Only 1960-61 (NNJ) and 2016-17 have had a pair of 20s. Already notched our biggest March storm, would need to top the 18.5" of 4-5/07 to crack April as well.

Shooting for 100 here. Could be close.

Numbers for a weird March: Avg max: 40.9 +2.1 6th mildest Mildest: 51 on the 6th Avg min: 24.3 +7.5 Mildest min of 26. Coldest: 4 on th 1st Avg mean: 32.6 +4.8 3rd mildest. The avg diurnal range is 2.1° less than 2nd least. Streaky temps. 1st was BN, 2-20 all AN, 21-26 BN, 27-31 AN. Avg for 2-20: +9.6 (Min avg +12.4) Precip: 8.67" +4.99 Tops by 0.76" Wettest day: 1.53" on the 10th Snow: 29.3" +11.9" Snowiest day: 11.5" on the 23rd. The 22.0" of 3/23-24 is March's biggest and tied with Dec 16-18 for 3rd biggest. Pack avg: 5.3", well below avg but the 22" O.G. at 7 on the 24th is tops for the snow season.

GYX is bullish this morning, especially for the foothills along the Maine/NH boundary. ocation Snow Amount Potential Chance of Seeing More Snow Than Low End Snowfall Expected Snowfall High End Snowfall >=0.1" >=1" >=2" >=4" >=6" >=8" >=12" >=18" Portland, ME 0 3 14 87% 83% 77% 65% 53% 42% 23% 7% Brunswick, ME 2 9 17 93% 91% 88% 80% 70% 58% 34% 10% Cumberland Center, ME 4 11 20 95% 94% 91% 86% 78% 69% 47% 19% Gray, ME 9 15 24 99% 99% 99% 97% 94% 90% 73% 38% Bridgton, ME 13 19 27 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 60% Lewiston, ME 10 16 23 100% 100% 99% 99% 97% 93% 78% 40% Augusta, ME 8 14 19 100% 99% 99% 97% 94% 87% 62% 18% Waterville, ME 7 12 18 100% 99% 99% 96% 91% 81% 51% 12% Fryeburg, ME 13 19 28 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 92% 66% Rumford, ME 11 17 26 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 95% 84% 52% Farmington, ME 10 17 25 100% 99% 99% 98% 96% 92% 79% 46% Rangeley, ME 8 14 23 99% 99% 99% 97% 93% 88% 70% 35% Kingfield, ME 9 16 25 99% 99% 98% 97% 94% 90% 75% 44% Eustis, ME 7 13 23 99% 99% 98% 95% 91% 85% 65% 32% Jackman, ME 5 10 19 98% 97% 95% 90% 82% 71% 46% 16% Skowhegan, ME 7 12 19 99% 99% 98% 95% 90% 82% 57% 18% Belfast, ME 6 11 17 99% 99% 98% 94% 87% 75% 43% 9% Unity, ME 7 12 18 99% 99% 98% 95% 90% 80% 50% 11% Sanford, ME 7 10 21 100% 100% 99% 98% 94% 86% 61% 28% Kennebunk, ME 0 4 14 86% 82% 76% 64% 52% 41% 22% 7% Bath, ME 0 6 14 88% 84% 79% 68% 56% 43% 21% 5% Wiscasset, ME 4 10 17 98% 96% 94% 89% 79% 67% 40% 11% Rockland, ME <1 8 13 89% 86% 81% 71% 58% 44% 19% 2% Hope, ME 7 13 19 100% 99% 99% 96% 92% 84% 57% 16% Manchester, NH <1 2 13 91% 86% 79% 65% 52% 40% 21% 6% Nashua, NH 0 <1 11 77% 71% 65% 52% 40% 30% 15% 4% Concord, NH 3 4 14 100% 99% 97% 84% 67% 51% 26% 6% New London, NH 9 12 19 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 91% 62% 18% Portsmouth, NH 0 <1 9 67% 60% 53% 39% 28% 18% 7% 1% Hampton, NH 0 <1 9 66% 59% 52% 38% 26% 17% 6% 1% Keene, NH 2 3 11 98% 94% 87% 68% 50% 35% 13% 2% Rochester, NH 4 6 18 100% 99% 97% 90% 78% 65% 41% 16% North Conway, NH 14 20 29 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 71% Laconia, NH 8 11 19 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 61% 20% Claremont, NH 6 6 14 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 64% 29% 5% Lebanon, NH 6 7 14 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 64% 27% 4% Plymouth, NH 9 10 17 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 55% 11% Pittsburg, NH 4 7 14 99% 98% 96% 88% 73% 55% 23% 3% Berlin, NH 9 15 22 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 92% 74% 32% Lancaster, NH 5 7 13 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 61% 24% 2%

Numbers for a weird March: Avg max: 40.9 +2.1 6th mildest Mildest: 51 on the 6th Avg min: 24.3 +7.5 Mildest min of 26. Coldest: 4 on th 1st Avg mean: 32.6 +4.8 3rd mildest. The avg diurnal range is 2.1° less than 2nd least. Streaky temps. 1st was BN, 2-20 all AN, 21-26 BN, 27-31 AN. Avg for 2-20: +9.6 (Min avg +12.4) Precip: 8.67" +4.99 Tops by 0.76" Wettest day: 1.53" on the 10th Snow: 29.3" +11.9" Snowiest day: 11.5" on the 23rd. The 22.0" of 3/23-24 is March's biggest and tied with Dec 16-18 for 3rd biggest. Pack avg: 5.3", well below avg but the 22" O.G. at 7 on the 24th is tops for the snow season.

Wow! I've never seen more than 3", twice in NNJ. The 2nd time was in Jan 1964 and it was topped by 1/2" ZR. Kids were skating in their back yards on the impenetrable stuff.

The spreads in the GYX snowfall predictions are huge - 90%/expected/10% for Farmington are 4/8/20. MHT <1/4/13. Lots of uncertainty still.

This last event had little elevational variation in snowfall, which is odd for a late season storm though 2m temps were well below 32. (Highest spot had somewhat greater ratio, however.) Listed by higher/lower elevation: Temple 1.8W 1,224' 2.02" 22.1" Farmington 4.2NW 616' N/A 21.1" Farmington 4.8NNW 610' 2.14" 20.5" New Sharon 2.0N 392' 2.27" 22.0" Had 2.5 hours of sleety/rimey stuff before the death band. Don't know if the others had the same but friends in the area had some.

LEW co-op shows 7.5" for mid-April 1933, and 25.5" for the 1982 blizzard. Only CAR's 26.3" was greater, at least any I've found in Maine. Farmington measured a mere 10", the lowest that I've found in Maine for the 1982 event. I "measured" 17.0" in the Violette Settlement, the quotes because - what do you do when a major blizzard ends with 2" lower pack than pre-storm and most of the snow fell with temps low-mid teens? Guesstimate is an understatement. The drifts within 20 feet of the stake - on both sides - looked to be 5' or higher. Fort Kent co-op recorded 12" but they seem to record snowfall by how much the pack has changed.

That was the 2nd greatest peak flow on the Sandy River until December 18 kicked it into 3rd. April 1987 still #1 by a large margin. Measured exactly 1.00" for the 24 hr ending at 7 this morning. Both December and March are the wettest since we moved here 26 years ago, with the driest February in between. 24.40" since December 1, can't keep up with SNE however.

And 72% of the area is in NNE. SNE's population density is about 10X that of NNE.

Grandkids planting the garden in SNJ (they're about 10 miles south of "79") while we sit under the clouds hoping to reach 50.

April 2023 thru March 2024 is currently (thru 7 AM) at 63.52". 2005 had 66.67", hopefully out of reach, but #2, 63.73" will be left in the mud (no dust here). However, Feb 24 failed to get the message - its 0.95" is the driest.

Of course, we do it again tonight.