wake4est

Mexico to Canada. Dang.

0.3" here

The current HRRR and RAP are showing next to no moisture with those bands. 

Oof. 

Just now, WinstonSalemArlington said:

36 and light rain at Wake Forest University  in W-S. Temperature is Crashing 

Go Deacs!

Also, rah cut totals even more

Last 2 hrrr runs

That hrrrrrr run was much moister. 

The eye

This event doesn't deserve multiple threads. 

Man this system is dry. Are any of the models showing any decent qpf in NC?

The gfs has been freaky consistent the last few runs

This run of the 12k NAM may attempt to wipe New England off the face of the earth. 

Wow the NAM is gonna crush enc

Just now, Beach Snow said:

Anyone know how well the SREF plume models are?

Terrible.

We’ll that’s an interesting map.

heck of a gradient 

Models are spitting out such a tiny amount of qpf I wouldn't be surprised to see most of central NC end up with nothing on the ground unless you get under a nice band. 

Goofy

Time to see if the 12k and 3k NAM are still bipolar.

Just now, PackGrad05 said:

I'm watching it and that band pivots right through central NC.

but it's fast and light and drops about 1 inch

Still flurries in the triangle on the last frame of the run

Oof. Through 44 the HRRRRRR is doing well for the Piedmont, complete whiff for the Triangle.

RGEM

Excited to see the GFS probably rip the rug out from under us..