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BristowWx

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Everything posted by BristowWx

  1. I’d like thanksgiving to be cold if possible. We tend to fail on holidays when it comes to cold. Whatever you can do would be appreciated
  2. BWI : 13.8 DCA : 6.7 IAD : 12.6 RIC : 8.7 Tie Breaker - SBY: 7.4
  3. Sure why not. I still think we dial up the despair index to 10 and work backwards...switch things up
  4. I don’t think we would ever see a more bullish prediction from a mainstream weather source this early in the season. That looks just fine to me. I hope it domes in multiple 2-4 inch events vice one big one.
  5. Without any scientific reasoning you can almost always predict less than historical average snow for the MA and usually be right regardless of the setup. So many things have to go our way for it to snow especially 95 corridor. I’ll predict a tick below normal maybe just not 2 ticks this year.
  6. The WPC watches and warnings map is a sight this morning. practically nothing going on any where of any kind in any part of the US. October calm I suppose.
  7. yes. with the Freeze warning out of the way we can move onto other more interesting watches/warnings. I would like to see some of the more rare ones happen. Ice Storm Warning or maybe Freezing Fog....Heavy Freezing Spray perhaps...not likely but we can hope. I like the lime green color of the Blizzard Watch. So much promise and hope early in the season...like a sailor just going on shore leave.
  8. Frost on the pumpkin here. 29F. Impressive I must say.
  9. My zone says 32. We shall see. But this is s nice start to the cold season. The first part of October spooked me.
  10. DCA: 11/11 BWI: 10/31 IAD: 10/23 RIC: 11/23 Tiebreaker: 2.8”
  11. Any precedent for that? Storm hits makes a big circle and redevelops to hit again...would it still be called Florence?
  12. Is there that much shear out there? Can’t be SSTs..so many factors to consider.
  13. I see your point...by the tine it reaches the Gulf Stream it’s already interacting with land somewhat...even if the water was 35C would it make a difference? Not sure. Someone here knows this answer.
  14. You know we don’t cool down without a huge fight. October before we can even think about low 70s for highs.
  15. Even if he did one no one would believe it anyway. Always expect disaster until it’s actually snowing.
  16. It was an exceptional synopsis. Great reference for those of us who didn’t know what QBO and MODOKI really mean. Seems like a regular Nino is not what we are really after. Good analogs in the mix with a couple of duds. We shall see.
  17. It won’t be the same without you. I’m saddened by this news you won’t be here. Obs from Texas are not that exciting.
  18. Don’t know Jeb...luck rules around here beyond teleconnections..we have missed some sure hits without explanation...of course there were scientific explanations but we if the rain/snow line is no where to be found we manage locate it. Or we end up with dry air where the snow can’t advance past Dale City...remember those events. 3 am and no first flakes
  19. Old Farmers almanac forecast is warm and wet for our region. I will take that and run. Almost time folks..I’m ready.
  20. You knew the cool April would not go unanswered by mother nature. That is why I couldn't understand why there were a few folks complaining about the "cool" spring weather. We ALWAYS get our heat. Its one of the few things you can bank on for the MA. But we had a good run of cool weather so its time I guess.
  21. Your posts always sound like you are drunk. Don’t drink and post.
  22. I don't think the Euro is apps runner. Looks well off Delmarva at 96
  23. I expect the Euro to be snow in JAX..which would be great for them
  24. It won't look that bad. Even I know that. It will look worse. 1998 bad. 2001 bad.
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