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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. stormy
    GEFS a little more generous with rain thru Tuesday than op.. 1.40 vs. 1.00" JB will enjoy his 8 inches of snow.
  2. stormy
    12z op. Euro is a PD hit for the Central Valley with 6 - 7 inches of snow. 90% probability it will be gone at 00z, but nice to see.
  3. stormy
    GEFS is suppression city with PD, Weeklies give some possibility of northward translation. Both GEFS and Weeklies give a reasonable threat for 23 & 24.
  4. stormy
    It will all sort out and settle down by about March 20.
  5. stormy
    It's a mixed bag beyond the range of the ECM and GEM. The 06Z GFS is a huge winner giving me 19 inches!!!!!!!
  6. stormy
    I hear ya! The 240 big 3 were close in the NW Gulf at 12z and the extended GFS op produced with support from the GEFS. The 18 GFS has went to crap in the OV. The Weeklies still look good Feb 21 - Mar. 20 and the potentially suppressive block has diminished.
  7. stormy
    You could be in the dough with that bet.
  8. stormy
    Yea man! I have even seen radar fail because the scan is about 12,000 ft. over Augusta. Radar has indicated snow for hours that all evaporated before reaching the surface. That virga can be a beast out here!
  9. stormy
    I'll take this at 270. 3 consecutive runs. At 240 the GFS, ECM and GEM all have the goods brewing in the NW Gulf and S. Texas. It's a SLAM DUNK with all 3 on board at 240. Rather unusual.
  10. stormy
    15.7 degrees this morning. Thats 10 degrees colder than normal!! Regarding the lack of snow at Blackwater Falls, I remember visiting the summit of Spruce Knob at 4862 ft. during the winter back during the early 70's. It was 8 below zero at the summit at mid afternoon. There was not a trace of snow anywhere!! That was 50 years ago. It sometimes happens that way.
  11. stormy
    The big difference between now and 50 years ago is that 50 years we didn't have a clue to what your saying. Nobody did. We only knew that sometimes in winter it snowed and sometimes a lot. Other times, folks generally said, hey! we're lucky to have an easy winter this year.
  12. stormy
    18z GFS pulls much more cold air upstairs at 850mb into the system on Monday. Makes a big difference.
  13. stormy
    Weaken that HP a little
  14. stormy
    925 is marginal upfront, 850 will work for most.
  15. stormy
    Look again on the 18z GFS
  16. stormy
    13/14 comes to life on 18z GFS
  17. stormy
    The CPC believes we will be close to -.75 C. come October.
  18. stormy
    Exactly right, Nina's don't all suck for snow. 21-22 was a -1.0 Nina. I received 29 inches of snow.
  19. stormy
    43% of Nino winters since 1980 have given me below normal snowfall. I would be happy to reach climo considering that stat..
  20. stormy
    Saturday afternoon I predicted that southern suppression would probably be a problem going forward through February because of NS strength. Other factors can also contribute to a generally dryer than normal precipitation pattern. This morning the EPS, CMC and GEFS all support that idea through PD. Always remember, we can sometimes have significant snow with below normal precipitation.
  21. stormy
    What keeps me awake at night???? February - March 1 will witness several threats but southward suppression will disappoint many. I fear the NS will be too strong. I hope I'm wrong but I must be honest.
  22. stormy
    Do you really believe that?? Ji is being Ji.............................
  23. stormy
    Just chill and wait for March 10! You may be thrilled!!!!!!
  24. stormy
    Finally at 12z the GFS op and GEFS seem to be joining hands to set us up between 360 - 384. Well established 50/50, steady stream of cold air coming down from northern Canada. Texas/Gulf Coast support both surface and aloft with developing rainfall in the deep south.
  25. stormy
    Kudos to you
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