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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. The 12z NAM has warmed. Went from 35 - 37 at 10am Tuesday up to 44 by 1 pm.
  2. Foolishness will have to be taken up with the scientists who conducted this study because they are saying that an abrupt interruption of natural cycles very similar to the Younger Dryas may be coming soon. It could have devastating impact around the world. When you say that the level of impact that humans can have on the climate is limited, I believe You and I could be friends. Enjoy the Super Bowl.
  3. I will be brief with an answer before deferring to the C.C. Thread. You obviously misunderstand the premise. This study suggests that the Glacial-interglacial cycles are not germane anymore because of our CO2 transgressions. The climate gurus at the U.N. said 5 years ago that it would be more than 300 years before the AMOC shuts down. Now, many scientists are saying with the AMOC at its weakest in 1,600 years, it could shut down completely between 2025 and 2095.
  4. GEFS a little more generous with rain thru Tuesday than op.. 1.40 vs. 1.00" JB will enjoy his 8 inches of snow.
  5. 12z op. Euro is a PD hit for the Central Valley with 6 - 7 inches of snow. 90% probability it will be gone at 00z, but nice to see.
  6. GEFS is suppression city with PD, Weeklies give some possibility of northward translation. Both GEFS and Weeklies give a reasonable threat for 23 & 24.
  7. I hear ya! The 240 big 3 were close in the NW Gulf at 12z and the extended GFS op produced with support from the GEFS. The 18 GFS has went to crap in the OV. The Weeklies still look good Feb 21 - Mar. 20 and the potentially suppressive block has diminished.
  8. Yea man! I have even seen radar fail because the scan is about 12,000 ft. over Augusta. Radar has indicated snow for hours that all evaporated before reaching the surface. That virga can be a beast out here!
  9. I'll take this at 270. 3 consecutive runs. At 240 the GFS, ECM and GEM all have the goods brewing in the NW Gulf and S. Texas. It's a SLAM DUNK with all 3 on board at 240. Rather unusual.
  10. 15.7 degrees this morning. Thats 10 degrees colder than normal!! Regarding the lack of snow at Blackwater Falls, I remember visiting the summit of Spruce Knob at 4862 ft. during the winter back during the early 70's. It was 8 below zero at the summit at mid afternoon. There was not a trace of snow anywhere!! That was 50 years ago. It sometimes happens that way.
  11. The big difference between now and 50 years ago is that 50 years we didn't have a clue to what your saying. Nobody did. We only knew that sometimes in winter it snowed and sometimes a lot. Other times, folks generally said, hey! we're lucky to have an easy winter this year.
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