stormy

Rain with the incoming system focuses north of I-70.................................. Not a good trend.........

Mother Nature always balances. Syracuse has only had 31% of climo, DC has had 84%, I have had 29%. I am happy, that is 28.6 % more than last year. Rejoice and be happy with your blessings.

The immediate DC region is closer to normal snowfall this winter than the great majority on the east coast according to NOAA. DCA 8.5 received, average ann.total 13.7 = 60%, Pittsburgh 13 received, average total 42 31%, Philadelphia 10 received 19 average 53%, Staunton 7 received 24 average 29%. This makes some people happy and some unhappy. There has been a gradual downhill slide in D.C. snowfall for 140 years according to this data, but look at the wildly fluctuating seasons with the recording breaking season not 100 but only 14 years ago. We should be getting close to another big year.

17.5 degrees at 7 am. That's 9 degrees colder than normal.

Bob, Thank You!! I always enjoy reading your down to earth wisdom. I only received .25 inch of snow but that is fine because I have about 7 weeks to go. My greatest prayer in November was to have a wet winter to rebuild the water table. That has happened. According to NOAA , many in the DC area are now around 100% of normal snowfall to date. DC has been very lucky this winter!! As you said recently, Mother Nature really has not wanted to snow this winter along the east coast. Just look at these snowfall percentages of normal for this winter: Roanoke 40%, Richmond 11%, Blacksburg 21%, Pittsburgh 38%, Cleveland 38%, Scranton 61%, Concord N.H. 70%, Buffalo NY 76%, Caribou Maine 75%.

Be patient, it will happen.

Since this morning, the 6 model blend for DC has dropped from 3.7" to 3.0". The 6 model blend for Augusta/Rockingham has dropped from 3.1 to 1.8".

2 - 4 was my call last night. Did I find a nut??

Good News!! The 3 model blend for DC increased from 2.6 to 3.4. A new 6 model blend for DC is 3.7". This is the GFS, ECM, GEM, ICON,NAM3 and NAM12. Kuchera For west of the BR, this 6 model blend is 3.1".

THE WSW IS NUTS!!!!!!

My final call: 2-4 for most in this subforum

I am very happy to read this!

You are exactly right my friend out here on the western front!.. .39 is indeed in the .35 - .55 range. This was for PSU and you nailed it. I'm just playing semantics, don't you understand?

You admit that you follow him. What more needs to be said???

The latest GFS doesn't like your ideas. Only .23.- .39

The GFS is a little more amped at 18z and consolidates over NC. GOOD RUN!

I hope!!!

Thanks for this from DT

The ICON and NAM have both shifted significantly north at 18z

Will DC become a snow-town Friday night?? This chart reveals very interesting data through Tuesday Caribou, Maine has only received 75% of normal snowfall this 23/24 winter while DC has received 85% of normal. What does this say? Lack of snowfall is more than simply a lack of cold air. Other factors are involved. By the way DC only has about an inch and a half to go over climo to date Friday night!!!

Anything coming from the Texas, Panhandle always has potential.

The 3 model Blend for DC has ticked up from 1.9 to 2.6 inches since 8 am. The same Blend has ticked down west of the BR from 3.1 - 2.9".

My latest 3 model blend for DC is 1.9 inches, Kuchera, GFS ECM GEM. West of the BR, Staunton to New Market is 3.1".

Statistics are always fascinating to me. The very interesting thing here is that Caribou,Maine has only received 75% of normal snowfall while DCA has received 85%!!! There is much more at issue here than simply being too warm. Thanks for posting this very revealing information!!

GFS much better than NAM