SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Posts posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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I’ll call it a quarter inch
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New HRRR is dry as a bone, 0.14 QPF for dc.
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Blend everything and it’s an easy 2-4. Not sure what the handwringing is about here, this was never supposed to last more than a few hours. Hard to get 4-6 inches that quick with a clipper type system in dc but still it’s not out the question.
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Silly question - when you guys know a new model run has dropped do you check the model first or the thread first?
44/18
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Wow almost 2 inches of QPF in like 6 hours lol on this storm.
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GFS 0.6 qpf for DC
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1 minute ago, Solution Man said:
Snow exiting @33, a little drier but this time
Another great run, almost 5 inches in dc on the 10:1 map.
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2 minutes ago, osfan24 said:
Isn't that just rates? Euro just seems drier overall. I think the question is whether you buy the mesos with the intense dump or is that being overplayed and the Euro is correct with less intense rates? Or maybe something in the middle, which seems like the GFS.
Yeah, maybe, but whenever in reent memory we were waiting on a 10+ degree temp drop in order to get snow without any arctic air nearby, the warmer models are usually right.
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2 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said:
What does Euro map look like?
skunks the entire 95 corridor up through NYC and boston, warm and not much snow.
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1 minute ago, Ravens94 said:
Euro is warmer since it lacks heavy precip. Euro has been wrong the last 2
We will see but in pretty much all of the marginal events like this in recent memory without CAD it usually works to pick the warmer models.
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So all those EPIC h5 looks really have dried up? Or is the good pattern actually happening it's just not going to produce snow?
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6z euro folks
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Another nice day....feels springy in the sun.
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Kinda feels like we're outta time. Maybe the #epicpattern will surprise me but somehow I doubt it. We had a week of actual winter so I will give this year a minimum grade of B- regardless what else happens.
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10 minutes ago, Terpeast said:
Swimming is great. Used to do it competitively. It just takes more time to drive to a pool, change into my suit, and do enough laps to get enough cardio benefit, and then change and drive back. But I’m definitely keeping that option open
I have always been a runner but got a peloton due to some unforeseen circumstances that arose that prevented me from running on certain days. I was so skeptical at first but peloton cycling is incredibly efficient, you can get a phenomenal workout in 30 minutes. Now I split peloton cycling and running and I’m fitter than I ever was when I ran exclusively.
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So in all seriousness, how is the pattern looking? I am seeing solidly positive 2m temp anamolies for Feb 14 on the 6z GEFS and the same thing from the 00z EPS at the end of its run. Are we still thinking this rolls into a better pattern for the second half of Feb or is it losing the progression altogether? I know the weeklies were still looking pretty good as of yesterday.
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The mojo in the long range thread is gone, no more epic pattern talk, +2m anomalies that never die. Getting close to “bring on the cherry blossoms”.
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So weird to see people in shorts and dining outside on january 26 in silver spring Maryland.
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Wow 75 degrees lololol
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18 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:
I lived in the Capitol Hill neighborhood in DC for several years in the early 2000s before moving to southern MoCo. I can't say offhand whether the temperatures were much different there compared to DCA; I'd guess not all that much. But in the time I was in that location I know the snow amounts I received were consistently higher than what came out of DCA. Anytime I saw reports from a snow event, those in the District proper likewise tended to be higher; that still is the case (e.g., during the 2016 blizzard I recall seeing several 20"+ reports from the District even as DCA recorded "only" 17.8") I actually found the snow reports from the National Arboretum to be a reasonable compromise amount for DC proper.
I measured 24 inches in petworth during 2016
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Just now, TSG said:
Definitely not representative of NW DC, but it's fairly accurate for downtown. I lived in Adams Morgan/Woodley Park for 5 years which is only ~2 miles from the WH, and ~175' in extra elevation. I can remember multiple events where downtown was like 90% white rain and north of Florida Ave had a couple inches of accumulation.
The zoo would be a good spot to represent the top half of DC.
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Panic Room - Winter 23/24 Edition
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
We’re done, final grade, B- because we had a week of actual winter.