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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. Shield is absolutely blossoming, looks anyone dc and north is gonna be in good shape.
  2. You can see it on the precipitation depiction RadarScope setting, right on schedule.
  3. Wow, looks like about 2 inches already. Beautiful! Everything totally white including roads.
  4. QPF looks better than the 12z run on pivotal. Edit: ends up about the same
  5. Wow! Keeps getting juicier, I am seeing DC under 0.3 on Pivotal though. 3k with a nice shift south too.
  6. Looks like perhaps more interaction between the vorts early on the NAM run...maybe the trough a tad sharper too.
  7. It was totally lost for the last storm, but the placement of the precip on it looks favorable for us, wouldn't sweat the QPF output.
  8. Good look and a nice improvement over those turd runs from last night. Cranking by 10z. Should be pretty when we wake up.
  9. It's much better than 0z, the max stripe is centered in our area instead of philly.
  10. Even though the QPF isn't as good as other models I like the southerly move in the placement.
  11. NAM starting at 9z will get a solid base down before sun angle is a factor at all. Will be a relatively high impact event with cold road temps going in if the NAM is right.
  12. NAM looks much better at 9z tomorrow, low closer to the coast, better precip across the metro.
  13. This event will be a dilemma for the districts around dc, light snow but right at the morning rush. Some districts like MCPS already had 2 snow days this week.
  14. Also sun angle doesn't really kick in until about 10 or 11 am, if we get a few hours of snow before that it'll look and feel wintry again.
  15. 10:12 am is the timestamp on the discussion, but maybe that part is from last night.
  16. An upper level disturbance will push in behind a cold front Thursday night into Friday and the two will bring a sufficient opportunity for more accumulating snowfall later Thursday night and into the early half of the day on Friday. Most of the snow accumulation will take place Friday during the morning with only the higher elevations seeing any accumulation before 12Z Friday. All areas have an opportunity to see snow accumulation.
  17. 6z ICON looks decently moist. Would be nice to get this precip in closer to 4-5 am to maximize the accumulations. If it comes in closer to 7-9 am it’ll be lower impact.
  18. With 50/50 boom bust probability and medium confidence haha. Basically it can snow 0-30 inches and they’ll be like yep we nailed it.
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