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The Dude

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    Late Feb/March Medium/Long Range Discussion

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    16 hours ago, Terpeast said:

    10 days. Last 3 are warm, and that’s going to verify for sure. Maybe even warmer

    IMG_6151.thumb.jpeg.0e2c996e98a52e87f89beb13fe82182d.jpeg
     

    Crap, i was using metric (been overseas for too long) here’s the fahrenheit version lol

     

     

    Metric looks much colder.  We should use that from now on.

    • Haha 5

    Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    47 minutes ago, WxMan1 said:

    Should have posted this earlier, but the ECMWF ML FuXi model ("Foo-chi") is pretty optimistic for the Friday system as well. All totaled, at least ~10mm total, perhaps more since we don't really see the full resolution. That's like 0.4"-ish. Not bad. 

    It should be noted that the FuXi was consistent in having 0.15-0.30" with the Mon-Tue system, which appears pretty reasonable now.

    https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/fuxi_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202401140000&interval=12&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202401150000

    It makes sense that the FU model would be the most accurate for our area...

    • Haha 2

    January Discobs 2024

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    We acheived snow globe status here for a while, but no accumulation.  Temps dropped 10 degrees with the passage of the front down to 34.  Let's hope this is the start of a nice wintry period!

    • Like 4

    October Long Range

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    15 hours ago, Jebman said:

    I love Billy Joel. Grew up with his music. Everything he sings reminds me of ripping snow at 9 degrees in Dale City in January.

     
    It's nine degrees in January
    The AmWx crowd shuffles in
    There's the Jebman sittin' next to me
    Tellin' tales about storms he's been in
     
    He says, Dude why must it be a Miller B?
    I'm not really sure when it snows
    But it's sad when it's sleet and not measured in feet
    While the blizzard in New York blows
     
    La, la-la, di-di-da
    La-la di-di-da da-dum
    Bring us some snow, you're the Jebman
    Bring us some snow tonight
    Well, we're all in the mood for a KU treat
    But the ground ain't lookin' too white
     
    Now Bob at the bar is a friend of mine
    He posts snow depth maps for free
    But the climate's warming, and he's now squirming
    Cause there's some place the snow'd rather be
    He says, Dude, this northern trend is killing me
    As the snow ran away from his place
    Well, I'm sure that we could see a real storm
    If we could go up North to chase
     
    Oh, la, la-la, di-di-da
    La-la di-di-da da-dum
     
    Now PSU makes posts like a novelist
    Whose forecast cuts me like a knife
    And he's talkin' with Randy, who's had too much brandy
    And getting sick of the strife
    And the white rain isn't making the roads slick
    As the salt trucks continue to brine
    And the models get worse with every mouse click
    On the wrong side of the rain/snow line
     
    Bring us some snow, you're the Jebman
    Bring us some snow tonight
    Well, we're all in the mood for a KU treat
    But the ground ain't lookin' too white
     
    It's a another bad storm for a January
    And the forecast missed by a mile
    'Cause its the new base state that's been making us wait
    To shovel an enormous snow pile
    And the storm, it sounds like an epic fail
    And our winter climate seems kaput
    As I sit in my car and look at the radar
    I see PSU will still get a foot
     
    Oh, la, la-la, di-di-da
    La-la di-di-da da-dum
     
    Bring us some snow, you're the Jebman
    Bring us some snow tonight
    Well, we're all in the mood for a KU treat
    But the ground ain't lookin' too white
    • Like 8
    • Thanks 1
    • Haha 8
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