Wow

1 minute ago, PantherJustin said:

Snow in Mooresville/LKN has arrived Right on I-77/Langtree Area

closer to downtown.. nada

yeah i know it's coming

will be rain with snow mixed in.. el busto

haven't seen a flake 

41.8/33

cloudy-ish?

Finally a jackpot run for me!

Dang the 0z NAM really digging the ULL south.. 

That's some serious NAMage over the southern foothills

verbatim the snow is confined to the mtns

GFS opened up the wave and gave up.  It's gonna happen in this range.  Everyone remain seated.

2 hours ago, BullCityWx said:

There’s a trend every six hours. I don’t understand, we have the best GEFS and EPS mean we’ve had since jump with this thing. 

0z NAM starting that off well

That looks nice. Soundings are solid.

Looks like the 12z run mostly

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

Hmmmm I wonder if that would be bad or good....

I'm 50% sure it'll be one or the other.

0z NAM digging the wave further SW at 33 hrs... More like the 6z run and closer to the 18z ICON .  

Just now, BullCityWx said:

#2 CIPS analog is 1/3/2002.

Just without the frigid air

..until the 0z models come in

movement of the precip per the 18z GEFS

fully stacked ULL to surface low over SE NC at 96 hrs.  Beautiful.

18z GFS slower with the ULL energy as well, same as the NAM so the trough axis is a bit more positive at 66

The trough axis stays positive longer.. that'll help with WAA and any warm noses ahead of the ULL.  

NAM is way south with the low at 81...

NAM about 50 miles south of of 12z position of sfc low .. in the gulf now, S of Mobile @ 75

18z NAM a little slower with the ULL progression but it's still digging well south.. The base of it nearly to New Orleans @ 66 hrs. Sfc low over MBY at 69

Nevermind the snow maps, the setup is there for a pretty widespread event for NC/VA