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Wow

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Everything posted by Wow

  1. I remember those since I was at NCSU at the time from 02 to 05 I had to travel home to catch Feb 04 ...
  2. Uhh the 18z NAM just shifted south a good bit ... c'mon HRRR!
  3. 18z HRRR still well further south with the ULL ... stronger but unchanged in position vs 12z. This is the year the HRRR puts out the ultimate coup!
  4. The worst is seeing the short range models like the HRRR show an awesome setup then trend to the global models. The 12z HRRR looks amazing at 48 hrs but it will without a doubt trend toward the rest of the models.
  5. hmmm starting to go neutral at 57 .. will be an inland track again but it's dug the base of the ULL even further south ... gonna be a lot of precip
  6. This be a hybrid miller A/B here ... Precip shield is trended down to the TN/KY border at 54 hrs.. with the speed of the ULL we could turn the corner ...
  7. NAM is a bit faster .. not necessarily with the ULL center but the progression of the western ridge
  8. well yeah, it's due to the ULL moving through faster...that slug of moisture with a ULL that strong to the WEST of us means the warm nose will be visiting sooner. Quicker it can catch up with the precip and SFC low the better. Compare to the previous runs from Monday/Tuesday...
  9. the precip shield back toward KY continues to shrink... consolidate!!
  10. small step... was a bit faster. every bit helps.
  11. faster but stronger with the ULL... lots of stuff to sort out to nail down the snow/sleet/ice/rain lines
  12. stop looking at the little red L's !!!
  13. Yes there's a bend in the isobars and wind barbs per the maps the indicative there's something there to push in enough WAA. But this is big step though.
  14. If the low tracks from FL panhandle to Charleston as shown, you are not going to have that much ice. It's a mostly snow/rain event. Climatology rules.
  15. ULL really digging south. FIngers crossed... This will significantly reduce the ice threat with a Miller A track. Ignore the precip maps showing ice everywhere.
  16. Wow the NAM just went Miller A .. looks like the model outputs from Monday/Tuesday. That would be huge to see the rest of the models move back to this!
  17. Weaker and faster is the ideal solution.. Once it's rolls east of the Mississippi.. let 'er rip
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