Stormheartgypsy

The SW needs rain and we need a break in that heat dome that is just a self-feeding cycle of heat/drought/no rain, rinse and repeat. 2021 is looking dry. Would this have to do w/ La Nina being over?

On 6/19/2021 at 8:41 PM, Hoosier said:

I had read that people with certain blood cancers or organ transplant patients have a very reduced response to the vaccine... in some cases almost no response.  People with RA, lupus, or other autoimmune conditions seem to have a somewhat reduced response to the vaccine, though everybody is different of course.  I hadn't seen anything about the type of circumstance in my other post (going on an immunosuppressant well after vaccination) but it probably makes sense to take precautions just in case.  The timeline of the person in my story is unfortunate... if you recall, we were seeing an upswing in cases back in April.  Since cases have been dropping lately, perhaps they wouldn't have caught covid if we were talking about now.

As someone who is immunocompromised and fully vaccinated, I still have to be careful and cautious (and yes, I still mask up, social distance, etc) because the medication I'm on, I had to wait 1 week after each vaccine before  I could take my medicine to help control Ank Spon (its in the RA family). And yeah, that was no fun.

I don't foresee us achieving 'herd immunity' with MO on the rise w/ covid cases (and the Delta variant was found in wastewater in Branson, MO if I recall correctly)  and we'll probably all of us, need a booster shot. Reading interesting stuff how they are mixing vaccines to see which one is best to use a booster.

Article on immunocompromised + covid19https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/the-complex-situation-for-immunocompromised-people-and-covid-19-vaccines

Good to know and what you said about the drought makes perfect sense.  Thanks for the info!

1 minute ago, csnavywx said:

Nina years tend to have a higher chance for summer drought but this isn't always a given.

As far as climate change goes, the trend has been for (so far) has been for relatively rapid increases in rainfall and absolute humidity (dewpoint) in the STL area but relatively modest increases in temperature. There's some evidence to strongly suggest this is due to the rapid increase in corn planting area and density, which transpires rapidly and has served to keep temperature increases somewhat muted at the expense of increasing humidity. Since corn and crop land area has reached near its maximum nowadays, I would expect temperature increases to start taking over. If that's the case, the future may include a bit more rainfall on average, but with ever bigger swings between wet and dry. Increasing whiplash or flickering, if you will. Drought sets in and ends quicker, rainfall tends to come in bigger bursts and less towards gentle, soaking rains.

Good to know and thanks for the info.

Is the ENSO being a neutral position playing into the "fun" weather? Or it strictly how the jet streams wobbles so far north and south and the moisture pumped in the from Gulf?

US Covid Cases by State

Oh the joys

Above link is about MO + Delta variant

Skip hop away from St Louis and blargh out here...

Currently 97 degrees (feels like hell at it feels like 102) 68%  dew point / 39% humidity Winds 11 mph out of the SSW

Under HEAT ADVISORY as the index can get to 106 () AND Under thunderstorm probability for the next 3 hours (clouds are looking "meh" on that topic - but I dried my clothes outside and that generally entices the rain gods!)

Rain chances 60% Monday Thunderstorms (OH YES PLEASE!)

Just curious if this drought has to do w/ (possibly) climate change and or the ENSO has moved from what I've read to a neutral (La Nina seems to be over - for now)...

Would love some rain here in the MidWest (skip hop away from St Louis)...

Fully vaccinated BUT immunocompromised...so I still wear a mask, social distance, wash hands, etc. - I still get looks, I shrug it off and go about my business. A simple case of the flu (even though I get vaccinated for flu - this being prior to covid-19), it would turn into bronch or pneum -- ugh, no fun for me. So, here's hoping get vaccinated, community spread continues to go down, etc. Another plus with the mask, keeps having to deal w/ allergies at bay.

I DO have a question, does anyone plan to use their mask during cold/flu season? (once this pandemic is really really over)

Any rain in sight? I looked at the long range climate prediction center (NOAA) and come 18th, rain probability. I'm wondering if this has to do w/ La Nina (I believed I read that it has faltered off) and that we're in a 'neutral' ENSO.

I'm curious how people feel (if this thread hasn't closed) about the Delta variant being the possible "new" dominant compared to the UK variant.