SnowenOutThere

3 hours ago, vastateofmind said:

There are generative AI "writing checkers" online now, but FFS...you can just tell, because there are always a couple students who normally write complete and total shite (in terms of grammar AND content), who suddenly turn in the most gorgeous, GENERATED prose ever. It's just so completely and egregiously obvious.

As a student I've noticed that often times AI writing isn't even that great, its more or less boilerplate slop (is good for summarizations and titles though). There is one kid in my Ap Lang class who uses AI on every assignment and gets straight Bs, overall I just don't see its use besides for the laziest students who can't be bothered to think up anything better. 

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

All in

Big ones are sniffed out early

2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Looks like there maybe a subtle northwest moving boundary on LWX radar. Check out the 0.5° base velocity. If that can juice up those cells coming off WV then we might see some decent hailers coming into the NW suburbs. 

Appears to be the most prominent directly west and north of the radar station. Will see if that can help get some more convection for them right as they move into the more populated areas.

Severe warned T-Storm crossing into Virginia north of Winchester, wonder if it could act as a forcing mechanism and lay down some boundaries for those further north. 

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

How many inches is Augusta County getting Friday night

Watch out he’ll gladly tell you about the latest rainfall forecasts  

22 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I miss reading sky-is-falling AFDs with incoming HECS. Reading the reno and sacramento ones brings back a lot of memories

If you have any old AFDs from our blizzards saved please do share them as unfortunately I am too young to have been able to read of them live... 

1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said:

You are ignorant and eyes closed to why your precious models are not worth a shit. You ain’t running me off puss wad

Also you  are approaching the line of stalking. Don’t go past it. You respond to Every post I make. When I address or respond to You Directly then that’s fine.  When I makes general posts, start staying off of those. You are addicted and trying to protect your supply and source. I identified last night that out of 120 posts on 4 pages, 39 were yours. That’s unhealthy and those sort of  numbers are constant with you.  Quite a few are enamored with your very lengthy 6 paragraph posts of models,  most have which has flopped this winter.

So, I’ll stay off your ass and you stay off mine

Im not  going to respond to Any post specifically from you anymore. I can do that because I don’t have a very odd dependency on being here  incessantly , Hold tight to your beliefs that models are a benefit to us and I will continue to address , without responding directly to you, what my eyes and mind tell me.

Go ahead and respond because I did. That’s your last one and keep in mind the general policy is the person asking  to not be stalked can fully expect compliance . 

 

Real contender for funniest post of the year right here

11 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I’m glad I’m too young to remember what winter was like. Minus ‘09-10 I’ve got no memories of any winter before 2014, really. And even then I’ve only seen 2-3 years of total garbage - accounting for the fact I like tracking like 90% as much as the actual snowfall

I’m pretty sure we’re the youngest two here and I’m just jealous you at least remember 09-10, personally I have no real memories besides some weak ones of what I assume is 13-14/14-15. Then I was sick and in 3rd grade for 2016 so I have no great memories of it too. I just wanted to have one good hecs or mecs (at this point I’d take a secs) before I go off to college and I couldn’t even get that… that said my winter expectations have been shaped from 2017-2024 and for me what makes a good winter is we cover/coat the grass once (which is rlly sad if you think about it) but that’s all I’ve come to expect at this point. 

7 hours ago, paulythegun said:

Seems weird to analyze weather without factoring in temperature trends. But to each his own.

I love how our “science based” board is actively hostile to the science they don’t like cause of whatever reasons. Telling psu to shut up won’t change the outcome it just pushes away one of our best posters

21 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

See I’ve provided  that about 5 times and even in last 36-48 hours after the most recent 6-120 hour bust but you all won’t read it. You flare up instead almost as if addicted 

SO For one last time 

Ditch the 7+ . A lot of extended weather is corrupted for agricultural and oil futures advisements

Stop looking at weather through a microscope. It does not enhance the resolution but rather blurs it. 5 miles by 5 miles is more than enough of a close up, really 10x10.  The closer up you zoom that more the errors rapidly multiply..

Go with less calculus and more AI stipulated analog composition 

Begin to consider that earthquakes,volcanoes and huge tidal waves actually may have shifted things in some way.  Lord knows plenty buy  into gas stoves and cow farts as our ruination and the things I mentioned are 20,000X stoves and cows. 
 

if one is wedded to all is just fine now then sally forth. I recognize that to not be true and yes I say so and it bothers the huggers real bad but I have had and  do right now have my suggestions for alternatives 

 I’m not the genius who invented models so maybe go to some other real smart hands on the controls guys who actually want a better forecasting science 

 

 

I've always been on the fence of taking you seriously as I couldn't tell if it was a stormchaserchuck situation where his ideas are correct but the delivery is ... questionable. However I can now fully thank you for confirming I should never do so. If you earnestly don't believe in the settled science of climate change then why would you believe/understand any part of our atmosphere?

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

lol that's a cop out

I’m not sure if blaming the fact our climate has completely gotten fucked up is that much of a cop out? I mean I’m not able to tell you why but I think it’s a reasonable start to investigate what went wrong 

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

yeah, i get the mechanisms like the jet retraction, but like... why? a -PNA caused by a flat Aleutian ridge is the last thing I would expect. even the warm super Ninos had this timeframe warm because of looks like this. absolutely maddening

 

I mean I can think of one reason the atmosphere may be behaving differently than past times… 

On 2/16/2024 at 12:52 PM, psuhoffman said:

Maybe. 2010, 2014, 2015 would maybe indicate we can get hit pretty good with a favorable pdo still.  And perhaps the wetter base state makes them more snowy. But small sample size. 
 

Howevwr there was another major temp spike post the 2016 super Nino.  No telling how that’s changed the equation. Also the pdo has become increasingly hard to predict. The cycles have become more irregular so it’s impossible to say how much longer this lasts. 

So excited for another nino boost to our climate, let’s see how high we can get this planet! 

3 hours ago, snowmagnet said:

Major disappointment in western Fairfax.  I think we got the snow hole. Less than 1”.   Oh well. It was a fun week of tracking.  
 

As someone in western fairfax who stayed up all night I can confirm we got roughly .6-.8 of snow

45 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Really? I’m shocked. Really must’ve actually got quite lucky. I saw plows pushing snow. Could’ve sworn you needed at least 2” to do it but apparently they were willing to risk scraping themselves up lol

I think I got near the low end of the stick with less than an inch of snow and no roads caving…

The roads, even untreated side street, never caved and it’s already over 

I’m at a quarter of an inch and with the back edge where it’s at I think 1/2 is too generous 

9 minutes ago, Wxtrix said:

it’s going to change as the drier runs get digested.

Considering it’s human made and was published after 12z runs I assume that was taken into account

7 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

I was promised PD3

And it is!*
 

*post 2016 adjusted expectations

44 minutes ago, Snowguy66 said:

Here we go, global warming alarmist. I heard today that Valentine’s Day and the sale of flowers increases the worlds carbon footprint. That is the problem I have with the global warming wackos out there. Instead of focusing on valid global warming concerns there are cuckoos out there that are fixated on this kind of crap. Geez I was having a good day until I saw these posts. The fact that we have had snowless winters. The last few years is not because of global warming.


.

This you?

1 hour ago, IronTy said:

I thought the "but seriously" would identify that the previous line in my post was a joke.  I agree with your viewpoint.  

Personally I welcome CC.  Snow climo in SoMD sucks ass as it is, if I can't have any, nobody else can.  And warmer weather means more moths.  

Might as well go for broke and try to get a 1933 redux up the bay with the new normal 

5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Plenty of time to take this down to nothing then build it back to a warning level event.

Might as well make it three times in a row.

Somewhere between .7-1 inch is where I landed up accumulation wise 

12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

6z ICON was an area wide 3-6”. Need it to jump back south

start the first thread now so we have time for the second one