CLIMATE PREDICT

A potential cold December exists for the eastern half of the United States. Following the historical Buffalo snowfall and the NAO index going negative in the face of the third straight winter of La Nina, this video discusses how to use teleconnections to predict weather months in advance--ENJOY

For your enjoyment

You will find this interesting with respect to the MJO, La Nina and the loop current in the Gulf of Mexico

https://www.bestweatherinc.com/hurricane/video-factors-affecting-the-2022-hurricane-season/

While many standard forecast models were predicting an east based La Nina Modoki, our Climate Predict program has been saying a standard, strong and full La Nina would develop this winter.

One can see that as of the end of last month, the MEI index was in the moderate La Nina category with a value of -1.40. Notice how Nino12 is cooler than Nino34. This implies a standard, not

east based La Nina. Feel free to go to climatepredict.com and play with my software for free

SOURCE: JIM ROEMER'S SOFTWARE CLIMATEPREDICT.COM

Anyway, many weather forecasters are calling for a cold United States. winter. However, La Nina events like 2011 and 2012 were very warm winters across the United States. There were

some recent exceptions--I.E. the winter of 2010-2011 that has extreme cold. Nevertheless, Climate Change and a warming Arctic may prevent a consistently cold winter.

The big news the next week or so will be a huge western snowstorm for higher elevations and drought easing rains from the Pacific NW to Northern California. This is typical of a La Nina, in October or November. 

In the mean time, feel free to go to one of my latest blogs and see a video here about how La Nina is affecting winter weather and the easing of the historic drought in Brazil

Jim Roemer

This link and video shows how various teleconnections such as La Nina Modoki and global ocean temperatures will play a role for the rest of the hurricane season . Also, feel free to download

a free issue of Climatelligence (the only all weather newsletter that educates weather forecasters about how to trade commodities)

If you would like to learn about the power of weather in investing and receive a free version of Jim Roemer's commodity newsletter, please go here.

Jim Roemer has been advising farmers, hedge funds, meteorologists and traders around the world how to use teleconnections, short and long range weather forecast to trade everything from natural gas to corn, soybeans, coffee and more

Here is the front page of our March issue

This report talks a bit more about the natural gas market and how you can use weather to make money trading. My newsletter Climatelligence for just $13/month is a far cry from the thousands of a month that clients pay to learn how to trade commodities.

https://www.bestweatherinc.com/commodities/how-we-predicted-the-arctic-pig-for-february-setting-the-energy-markets-on-fire/

As a lover of weather, you owe it to yourself to invest in other things, other than gamestock  One way to get your feet weight using your love of weather is by trading commodity ETF's such as natural gas. They can be traded at your brokerage firm like Fidelity, etc. For example, since I started telling clients 2 weeks ago about the Polar Vortex, natural gas prices have rallied some 13% in two days; that's not bad considering keeping your money in cash or a money market makes less than 1/2 of 1%

Another major snowstorm is coming to the eastern U.S. this weekend and due to the negative Arctic Oscillation Index. This report here talks a bit more about that and why February and potentially March will be cold  https://www.bestweatherinc.com/commodities/how-we-predicted-the-arctic-pig-for-february-setting-the-energy-markets-on-fire/

Teleconnections such as sea ice, the AO index and much more (Not just El Nino, La Nina) affect global weather patterns. For the first time. I am making a brand new newsletter called Climatelligence, available to weather lovers. It will teach you how to use your skill to learn about crops, long range weather forecasting around the world and investing. You can download a free winter outlook here.

Be safe,

Jim

Many of you have a passion for weather, but how do you invest in commodities and develop a longer term approach to investing. While everyone talks about the rising stock market, there is no guaranteed this will continue forever. You should use your interest and talents of watching snowstorms, hurricanes and climate change around the world, to make money trading everything from natural gas to corn, coffee, etc.

If you have a regular trading account with, say, Fidelity or another broker, and know nothing about commodities.  The conservative approach to LEARN is to trade commodity ETF's. 

So how to you learn about this? First off, download my FREE Winter-Outlook here and find out how teleconnections predict a potentially cold 2nd half of winter, but not necessarily the first half, as the AO index goes positive. 

As a lover of the weather, many of you are probably interested and potentially talented enough to learn how to use your skill to trade commodity futures and conservative options such as natural gas (UNG), coffee (JO) and the grain market. While everyone gets excited about snowstorms, there is just as much potential excitement watching stocks and commodities affected by weather. Yes, watching stocks such as Apple and Amazon soar over the years may. not be your cup of tea, so why not learn how to use weather forecasts to make investments in things affected by weather.

While I am firm believer in climate change and a warming planet, this winter has the potential to be much colder. I began telling clients last week that I thought we would go into a negative Arctic Oscillation Phase as shown on the upper right. Other than La Nina, it is quite possible that  "aerosols" from the historic western fires are getting caught up in the atmosphere and warming the Arctic. This will help the AO index to go negative with cold late fall weather in at least the Midwest and possibly the eastern U.S.

OCTOBER GLOBAL RAINFALL ANAMOLIES WHEN THE AO INDEX IS NEGATIVE

My teleconnection program at www.climatepredict.com is free for you to use and you can click on different teleconnections such as the AO index and see historical rainfall, snowfall and temperature trends months in advance. Notice, for example, how in October other commodities such as coffee, wheat and soybeans are influenced by the negative AO index.

I will be starting a much less expensive, monthly global commodity weather newsletter that is much more affordable from my web site www.bestweatherinc.com. and if you are interested in learning about commodities and weather you can always sign up for a FREE trial

Regards,

Jim

Here is the way the potential Nov-Jan jet stream will look given present teleconnections and the La Nina. The one cavaet is of course climate change and the historical California fires that could alter the weather. You can go to climatepredict.com and play around with the FREE, lite version of our software here https://www.bestweatherinc.com/climate-predict/

Image--Using Climate Predict and Teleconnections in forecasting average 500 mb pattern Nov-January.

Hurricane features, snowfall, rainfall trends, etc. are all included

This is for a great cause and you can join in for Free. Just register here and learn about Climate Change, Florida Red Tide, Sea Level rise, etc. with two of the most notable hurricane and climate change experts and former big wig, Bob Bunting, who helped start  NCAR many years ago

https://www.bestweatherinc.com/global-warming/climate-adaption-center-and-live-september-17th-webinar/

With a storm approaching the Gulf this weekend, I thought I would give all users of AmericanWeather's forum FREE access to my software, in which you can get 70 years of historical storm track data, ACE and much more. You can read more about weather forecasting for hurricanes and my techniques here.  This link also talks about why cooling at NINO12, the warm 2019-20 winter and the warm Atlantic regions (+TSA/+TNA) all portend a potential similar 1995 analog--a very active season. What could go wrong? Only if Nino12 does not remain cooler and we see African dust off the Sahara.

So, here is a sample of accessing the data   Belowis a brief description below of how you can access really cool looking historical hurricane tracks

I have had a bunch of requests to make available historical global ocean temperatures so you can compare various El Nino, La Nina events and much more to any year of your choice. Now you can access everything you need for FREE here CLIMATE PREDICT including all hurricane tracks, snow cover maps and much more back to 1958

Hi,  I have been a commodity analyst and trader for 30 years and being a meteorologist, you can learn a ton about how to trade natural gas, grains, etc. here and there is a FREE 2 weeks Trial period. www.bestweatherinc.com.  However, regarding KLADE.TECH No, never heard of it. I will check it out. I used to trade weather derivatives for years at the CME, but that is now pretty much by the waste side.

Also, you can trade temperatures, rainfall, etc. at this TRADEWEATHER platform . There is not a lot of liquidity yet, but hopefully that market will be growing

Jim

For those who were disappointed in a pretty much "snowless" eastern winter, there is a high correlation in predicting July temperature trends for the eastern U.S, when looking solely at historical teleconnections. Here are just two methods, of many that you can learn to use for FREE. One can also use these analog years to make some predictions of the hurricane season. If you email I would gladly show you.

1) +AO/NAO winters, we look at historical analogs months in advance. The result of this composite on ClimatePredict is for a hot July.

2) The lingering weak El Nino signal and warm oceans over the Indian Ocean

3)The +AMO and warm Atlantic

Having reliable long range forecast models that can out predict the Euro and GFS are critical for commodity traders, farmers, insurance companies and more

Jim Roemer

www.bestweatherinc.com

How about long range free weather software using teleconnections and learn about commodity trading. Get tons of historical snow cover maps, hurricane data, etc.

www.climatepredict.com

Regards,

Jim

Hi there, I have been a meteorologist and commodity analyst for 35 years.  I am really excited about offering meteorologists FREE access to my software and how

you use teleconnections to forecast better. There is a site on the internet at NOAA that allows forecasters to do analog studies, etc. but here is a great product that

allows you to receive 1) Historical snowfall and hurricane maps going back 70 years; 2) Looking at the relationship of any of 28 global teleconnections (From the

MJO to the AO/NAO index and many more) to predict rainfall, temps, etc. months in advance.

You can check this out and get all sorts of historical data at www.climatepredict.com.    

Whether your want to know how the Indian Dipole might change and affect crops in Southeast Asia, or which analogs will best help you forecast summer weather for

natural gas regions, severe weather or hurricanes, check it out.  I would be happy to answer any questions you may have about teleconnections.

Regards,

Jim Roemer

www.bestweatherinc.com

Yes, I have been a commodity trader and analyst for major hedge funds and farmers for 35 years.

You can contact Scott Mathews who is a great broker. I also have an in house long range weather forecast program

for commodities, etc. that you can access for free

Regards,

Jim Roemer

www.bestweatherinc.com