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MN Transplant

Meteorologist
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  1. Ok, I ran some numbers for DCA. For the period 1950-forward, the correlation between temps and snow gets stronger as you go through the winter. We root for cold and hope for precip. Snow on the vertical axis, temp departure from current norms on the horizontal axis. Interesting note on the final (full season) chart. The two 20"+ winters that were above normal temps were due to HECS (1983, 2016). So, you want to have a full-season negative departure or you are praying for a fluke.
  2. It has been extraordinarily sunny, which I think factors in heavily. Since the start of September I've only had 4 days where there was any appreciable midday solar radiation restriction.
  3. That + sign is doing heavy lifting out in the mountains.
  4. Come on, I was waiting to come in and Price is Right everyone
  5. No special pattern? No need, we'll just tack on another record high.
  6. Amazing to see visually how the bottom can just drop out at IAD in the right conditions.
  7. There are a few different ways to get at it from the CoCoRaHS site. One is here: https://dex.cocorahs.org You may need to try a few before getting one that has a long timeframe. Generally the sites with lower numbers after the county code.
  8. I was checking dry Oct/Nov periods and since 1950 all 5 combinations of Oct and Nov that were well below normal (<1.5" precip/month) were in Nina or negative neutral periods. So, it would certainly argue for an increase in precipitation later in the month. (1964, 1974, 1998, 2001, 2016 - winters were below normal precip and snow, but again, all Nina-like)
  9. No Kirk, No JJ, No Darrisaw. Rookie QB who has been practicing all week gets a concussion in the first quarter. And they win with a guy that they just traded for and had never even taken a snap from the center. Amazing.
  10. Cleanly the driest year in well over a decade in Loudoun Co. 2018 and this year are the two outliers. (cocorahs data)
  11. Great writeup and analysis. I certainly hope this comes to fruition. IMO, only a 10% chance of less than 10" is really aggressive. 5 of the last 7 winters have been sub-10" in my backyard, and I'm not even in a river like DCA.
  12. Is Yoda our resident Texas Rangers fan? Maybe still partying Makes the O's loss to the Rangers not look quite as bad.
  13. Oddity this year in that my backyard with the oaks has more leaves than the front yard with the maple. The maple usually drops before the long period of oak leaf fall. The dogs have already dug some holes in the yard, so I'll be patching next spring.
  14. 31.3 for the low here. IAD got it cleanly. DCA did not. BWI is close.
  15. I’m sure they are all making reference to the great Halloween Blizzard of ‘91. Though La Crosse had more of a mix in that one.
  16. That like on the initial post is a name I haven’t seen in a while.
  17. IAD lost almost 10 degrees in 10 minutes without any precip. Still made it to the lower 80s.
  18. Amazingly, this team was better than the 13-4 team last year. They were poised to make a run with a soft schedule coming up, JJ coming back, and Kirk playing the best of his career. And now, do they panic and bring in someone else, or just accept the tank and let Hall go out there? So deflating.
  19. People in costumes at the Halloween parties today looked absolutely miserable. Obscene weather.
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