NorthHillsWx

Bit more dreary day yesterday than I was expecting, showers kept it cool for a lot of the day. Managed to get to 69 before the rain but temps dropped all the way to 59 before rebounding to 68 late in the day again. Just 0.06” but every drop here is needed 

Going to be extremely frosty in the morning. Most of NC in the mid-lower 30’s already with a couple more hours to bottom out with no wind. Some places may even get below freezing. Hope everyone’s garden was prepared 

0.32” yesterday brings MTD total to 1.30”

After missing out on almost all the rains over the last 2 weeks, the abnormally dry are on the drought monitor has blossomed from 12% of the state of NC to 28%, mostly in central and eastern parts of the state. Combined with this early season heat, it feels very “crunchy” out there walking through the woods 

High of 88.4 yesterday 

0.00” today despite 100% coverage forecast and 1-2” 

Still no rain today. What a forecast bust! Not complaining at all

Picked up 0.04” last two days. Will be interesting to see if the area of subsidence over NC from the convection ongoing to the south busts todays rainfall forecast. What had looked like steady morning rains now look to hold off till afternoon. Definitely a volatile forecast 

12 hours ago, Floydbuster said:

Unless my math is wrong, wasn't Fran the last major hurricane to make landfall in North Carolina?

That is correct. Florence and Floyd were both expected to come in as majors but both weakened significantly (wind wise). Obviously they both had rainfall impacts that exceeded their wind category. I don’t believe in “we’re due” but 1996 was a LONG time ago especially in a state that takes so many hurricane hits

Like everyone else, just saw the CSU forecast. Holy moly. I see nothing holding this season back besides luck. Here in NC, we’ve had a lot of that recently so praying it holds. Nuclear SSTs with developing La Niña…. Good luck everyone! Going to be an active year tracking 

Picked up exactly 0.47” again this afternoon (same total as morning!) for an event total of 0.94” 

This has been an awesome spring weather wise. Other than the dry month and pollen hell, temps have been very comfortable and we’ve had enough rain to feel good going into the summer. There hasn’t been any abnormal frosts or cold and though a cool down is expected (we were almost at 90 the past 2 days!) I don’t see anything screaming a ton of cold wedgy days. Definitely has not followed the pattern of last few springs 

Picked up 0.47” of rain this morning/overnight. Ridiculous warm mornings continued, low of 64.8. High of 86.2 yesterday, summer-like!

85.1 for the high yesterday! Summer feel. Only got down to 67.2 this morning… Incredible early April warmth 

47 minutes ago, yotaman said:

I am up to 1.96" and still raining. Still below what was expected but we are getting close.

New Bern did well but the 95 corridor really busted. Forecast was 3-5” and that area is generally under 1.5”. Still good rains, I’m not saying this was a dry event for eastern NC, but a flood watch and 3-5” forecast is aggressive for what actually occurred 

Looks like a storm total of 1.59” for us, unless something redevelops. Below the flood watch forecast of 2-4”. Good soaking rain though and a lot of thunder last night and yesterday morning 

9 hours ago, Met1985 said:

I thought middle and Eastern NC was supposed to be extremely dry? Must have missed something....

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

Pretty significant bust of a rainfall forecast. The heaviest rain ended up west of the US 1 corridor. 2-3” west of wake. We have 1.55” (about 3/4”-1” below the forecast) and areas east of here have only .5”-1” so 2-3.5” below what was forecast. There will be some light additional rain but the flood threat looks to have passed and the only warning from this event is in chapel hill

I guess it’s more of a now cast situation but the heaviest rains so far today seem much further west then models expected. We’ve only had 0.36” here but some places around chapel hill have seen 1.5”+ so far. We’ll have to see where the heavy bands setup overnight but sometimes those precursor bands let you know where they’ll want to setup in a stalled front situation like this

1 hour ago, marsman said:

.64" in the bucket from this event. Good wash down of the pollen. Driving around yesterday morning the pollen created a greenish fog in some areas east of Raleigh.

I was at Cameron village when the first rain came through yesterday about 4:00 and the streets sidewalks and gutters turned completely yellow. It was disgusting 

0.89” in the bucket

46 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Indeed, it looks wet for many areas of the SE late week into the weekend. Also, the latest drought map for the SE overall looks good and way better than it looked 2.5 months ago thanks to El Niño. I know N GA could use a break from recent heavy rains with plentiful creek/river flooding (I saw it) and fortunately it doesn’t look too heavy there. My area (SE GA) has averaged near normal though not too far away in Charleston it has been too wet.

 
 This is how bad it was 12/26/23:

Fantastic improvement most areas since then with dry area of E NC in line for heavy rain by weekend:

Yep the drought from last fall has been erased but we haven’t had measurable rain since March 9 and it’s quickly dried out during that time. Friday should be wet but we’ve seen a lot of recent systems fall apart for central NC this spring so hopefully that trend is halted. April and May are typically dry months for us so going into them dry can be a bad thing as we start to really warm up. 

2 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Not to mention everything is lemon yellow from the pollen

Pollen is terrible right now and getting worse by the day 

Hopefully we get some good rains Friday-Saturday because it looks exceptionally SE-ridgy/dry beyond the weekend and it truly hasn’t rained much here lately. Western areas and South Carolina a different story 

0.00” rain here. NWS had bumped us up to likely pops but nothing. Completely evaporated moving into central NC

83.7 high today. Pollen is bad