NC_WX10

NAM cut totals a bit around Boone. Seems like it’s going to a pretty sharp cutoff between accumulating snow and nothing but a few flurries


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Yeah and it's still snowing at hour 84 on the NAM. This isn't the NAM'S best hours but you have the cmc, euro, NAM,  and gfs all look very good. It'll be interesting to see the NAM 3K Once this storm gets closer.

Good trends on the NAM. Upping totals for everyone and some 6+ inch totals on the border.


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1 minute ago, strongwxnc said:

I might load the family up and drive toward banner elk towards Roan..

Maybe..

Yeah I'm kicking myself for getting a cabin in Boone this weekend and not somewhere like Beech but nothing I can do now. Any way will probably drive over to Banner Elk and maybe up to Beech Friday evening. 

Will be in Boone this weekend. Appears Boone might be a bit too far east for anything substantial but hopeful for an inch or two. Those that are along the border should be in great shape though!


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2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

It tends to be too cold in mid-level WAA situations.  Especially beyond 6 or 8 hours

I thought I remembered that. Thanks!

13 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

Just when I  think the Hrrr can't get any better; it spits out this non sense. Upstate, SC... let's go!!! I'm honestly going to be very... very surprised if Oconee/Pickens/Greenville doesn't get at least 3-4 inches at this point. The writing is on the wall, front end thump incoming!

Do you know if we can trust the thermals of the HRRR?

Nam is a little further north than 12z through 42

4 minutes ago, sarcean said:

I know we will get some snow in Charlotte but sure looks like alot of sleet, freezing, rain, and ice will mix in with it. Then when those backside winds hit it will be lights out.

Trends have been better. I think we are good for 2”-5” with possibly more in the NW part of the county. 

CMC looks similar to the Nam 

Really surprised to see that much mixing for  central NC with the location of low pressure as shown on the Nam and GFS. 

Really coming down now. Big flakes 

A little over 4" in Blowing Rock. Coming down good. Radar looks good for a while to me. 

A little over 4" in Blowing Rock. Coming down good. Radar looks good for a while to me. 

Snow is getting heavier in blowing rock. Maybe a 1/2”. Looking forward to the heavier bands headed this way 

Snow has started here in Blowing Rock

Really liking the trends on the short range models for the Boone area. I think I'll be in a good spot. 

Nam and 3km Nam show huge totals for all of the mountains 

Good run on the Euro. Widespread 6+ throughout the mtns. Latest HRRR is concerning but that has been the only run this morning showing that much of a dryslot

Just now, wncsnow said:

Someone's gonna be shafted near us with downsloping away from the main bands. Probably me.

Someone is definitely going to get shafted. I was thinking that the east facing slopes would have less moisture in this setup but it seems like areas further west have lower totals taking the 00z models verbatim. 

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

I'm gonna pretend I didn't see the latest RDPS. Gives me less than an inch after multiple runs with 4 to 6

I am chasing to Boone and I'm getting concerned with the runs on the 00z with the lack of moisture on the front end for our area. 

1 minute ago, Met1985 said:

Look back a page. We have already discussed that to a certain point. 

Sorry about that. I see that now. Thanks 

Decided to chase this one, where would y’all recommend I go? Seems like Boone should do well but open to any suggestions. Thanks 

8 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Euro looked like a step in the right direction. 

Really close to something big. Need that CAD to trend stronger. Huge run for the MA up I-81

9 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said:

Heavy flurries here in Boone, enough to keep everything wet.

Looks a little more than heavy flurries on the king street  cam