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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. What is the best source for snow verification maps? I was planning to use this https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/, but it looks like an errant 21" reading around harrisonburg has messed that map up.
  2. For my bingo card... do I get "virga", "radar hallucinations", or both for this?
  3. QPF is just a bit better pretty much everywhere. trend = friend
  4. Unsurprisingly, the GEFS mean is skewed by two HECS. I'll take P08 and call it a decade.
  5. The fact that we are now posting MECS in the panic thread is telling. Tough times in Weenie-ville.
  6. No threads until the 1” streak is broken. Desperate times call for desperate measures. EURO shows 20” in 24 hours? No thread.
  7. Not that I'm not bummed, but we do sometimes get good trends. Jan 3rd 2022 was a late trend North which increased totals for many by a lot.
  8. GEPS snowfall looks a lot better than 12Z... 3-4" region wide on the mean. The GEM looks like a warm outlier against its own ensemble.
  9. Also unsettled for the 7th storm. Was usually either the most or least snow of globals.
  10. Beauty of a track. Straight up the coast with plenty of inland snow too.
  11. Help me out here - trying to learn when things are calm. I see a huge West-based block, low heights around the great lakes, and a 50-50ish low at the start. The block breaks down, and I've heard many say that we often score our bigs ones when blocking regimes relax. The low heights around the great lakes move East, but seem kinda far North to me. What should I be keying in on here?
  12. Nearly .55" of rain in the last 2 hours brings my total to .76" - Sigh
  13. It is comically stubborn. I love that it initializes 3-5F warmer than the 18Z run at hour 0 and then INSTANTLY jumps to its old forecast at hour 1. "Nah, I was definitely right before"
  14. If the code that accumulates snow is inside the model and driven by physics, then why are snow accumulations so wildly different on different websites? Presumably they all use the exact same data from the model.
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