Jessy89

I know our power went out and came to find out the tornado that was warned 20 mins later is what caused the power to go out to begin with. We had no idea that was that close and happening. While I was on the phone with Blue ridge to report the outage our phones went off. It was pitch black had my daughter and young grandson here with me and this was very surreal. Never want to go through that again!

 Dud??  Here in Pickens county sc had 2 tornadoes less then 2 miles from our house. Pretty dam scary when the power goes out and it's pitch black then your phone screams tornado warning.  I'll make sure to send the next dud system your way and see how you like it.

Looking forward to tropical weather such a fun season. Not as fun as winter storms but still interesting 

Hail core near powdersville anyone In this can confirm


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The most likely outcome is reorganization to a tropical storm before hitting Florida’s panhandle. This is going to be nothing more then a sloppy rain maker and isolated tornado threat. Flooding is the biggest concern


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Really the biggest story from Fred might be the flooding rains the Appalachian mountains ring out. 3-6 inch bullseye remains over parts of upstate sc and parts of western nc


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Lord how mercy cmc puts 12+ inches over the Appalachians and parts of upstate sc. that’s catastrophic flooding right there


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I tell ya the GFS doesn’t really want to do much with Fred


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If this is going to blow up into anything. I think it won’t happen until it gets into the gulf. The Hispaniola shredder gonna impact this. Most likely scenario is a big sloppy rain maker somewhere in the south


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Hey Jessy,
 Based on the current drop in SSTs, the cooling subsurface, the forecast models, solidly positive 30 and 90 day SOI averages, +OLR, and the fact that we're already into August, I see very little chance for El Nino by winter despite my preference for it.
Check out this animation showing significant recooling:

SOI: https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/soi/
OLR: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/olr
 
 
 

https://www.deseret.com/coronavirus/2021/8/5/22611061/epsilon-variant-covid-vaccines-new-research

Can anyone explain this? What now I have no interest in taking the vaccine. I’ll trust my own immune system


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Dr. Phil says there's a very very low chance of El Nino forming
 

I thought the same thing

If it’s true a weak El Niño is developing. We just see how it effect the rest of hurricane season. I realize we are not at peak yet. But does anyone believe forecast of amount of named storms will bust low? I’m sorta thinking that but know we could be in for a fun winter across the southeast.


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That’s nuts.  Maybe it’s because I’m paying more attention than what’s warranted, but I’d be at two feet of rain for May and June if multiple storms hadn’t fizzled out with a few miles from me.
Edit:  I just went back and played the loop of your storms.  Talk about a kick in the sack.  Missed you on both sides.

Both these cells managed to miss me




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https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202105050015-KGSP-NOUS42-PNSGSP

Tornado in greenwood and abbeville was a ef2 winds 125mph and stayed on the ground for almost 30 miles. That’s long track


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Allergy season yuck dreading it


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I think these are pretty accurate


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You should apply for the weekend weather person at WYFF since Dale Gilbert retired. Been on here for a while and whenever the Upstate has a chance at winter weather, look forward to your input! Excellent point many mets had to see the potential but chose not even to mention.

Almost home now. but I had one more thing to do. to truly make this trip a success. Went up on soco mountain for some good sledding I’m guessing they had 5 inches up there possibly 6 before melting. My little boys went down so many times the poor sled broke lol had a blast


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Eden, NC:
Temp and dew point both at 33.4 and rain with a rogue flake here and there. My approximately 0.25" of snow has been mostly erased by the 0.28" of rain.
The attached picture is from a friend in Maggie Valley.[mention=16706]Jessy89[/mention] enjoy the beautiful day!

4-4.5 in Maggie valley this will melt fast even in the mountains. I believe I got a inch or so more here then in MBY lol.


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Not a disappointment at all finished with 4-4.5 in Maggie valley. So definitely not a bust. Back at home saw 3-3.5 in MBY in liberty. So yeah I could of stayed home for this one but I still got my snow so it’s a win!


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3 inches or so in Maggie valley I mean I’m happy and satisfied. But my house in liberty saw about 3 inches to lol. Could of saved $100 but the ride home will be worth the $100 nothing like white mountains



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