Jump to content

Pilotwx

Members
  • Posts

    524
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Pilotwx

  1. 12 minutes ago, beanskip said:

    Look, it’s time to be real on this storm. I know we have all become experts on hedging and caveats and flies in the ointment. But I go back the old Wright Weather  boards 20 years ago and we have never, EVER seen a storm modeled like this. Consistent, run after run depiction of a historic event. Three inches of QPF paired with a classic CAD? Yes, the features will be better sampled in a day but I really don’t think Lucy can pull away the football on something like this. Even if the QPF is cut in half it’s still a monster. Even if the CAD is overstated by 100 miles, a large area will see more than a foot.

    Bottom line: anything can happen, but I had to eventually wrap my head around a Cat 4 October hurricane and I wish I had accepted the inevitable sooner. 

    This thing is coming.  

     

     

    I remember being on wright weather as well. This has the potential to be historic for sure. I have never seen this many model runs with this much snow, never !

    • Like 3
  2. 2 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

    I’ll take a stab at this one. Growing up in Mount Airy, I always had the same question, because you’d frequently see the same thing modeled for that area. I believe (and someone with a legit background feel free to correct me), the models always try to predict lee side sinking. I’ve found that in these particular systems, coming up from the south, it rarely happens. Usually I just ignore the hole’s. 

    I'M with ya as well I  call it,  Mountain Shadow effect.

×
×
  • Create New...