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Utvols235

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Posts posted by Utvols235

  1. I'm happy for everyone. It was amazing the difference of a few miles in the Chattanooga area. I'm in Ooltewah where we might have received 1/4" of snow. 6 miles to our north started the accumulating snowfall. 2" and then higher totals of 6-10. All the snow was north and east of us 6 miles. Maybe 8 miles away in Harrison near the lake 4" was widespread. We received the warm nose shaft here. Oh so close.

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    Got to see it for myself today going up 27 to Dayton. May have had 1.5 in at my place in red bank. Each mile that I went was more and more and more snow. It was kinda depressing seeing how close we were to hitting this huge storm.


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  2. From what I can see, it's the only model with that extensive area of icing. The 0Z high res. Fv 3 has predominately snow in SEKY/SWVA. The 0Z 3k Nam as well. Fwiw, it may be right but, I've found the Hrrr has a bit of a warm bias in upper east TN and SWVA. 

    Thanks. I will say we came close to our predicted high today but not quite. Stayed below freezing all day. Whatever snow we did have must have made an impact on that. Wonder if that plays an issue tomorrow. Granted I have no idea what I’m talking about


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  3. Truly one of the more impressive runs of the NAM(even for the NAM!) that I have seen.  It brings snow howling all of the way to the Florida/Georiga border.  I have my doubts that it can get the Atlantic feed back this far, but a historic blizzard on the EC certainly seems plausible.  

    I went to school in south GA. In 2014 we were under a WSW and projected to get 3-6 inches in bulloch co. Meanwhile the valley wasn’t supposed to get but an inch or two if any. My parents ended up getting 5 inches in west knox and we didn’t get a single snow flake in so GA. Turned out to be an ice storm from us to Augusta. Sounds like a similar set up although I didn’t follow the wx as close as I do now. Not sure if anyone remembers that storm system.


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  4. Honestly, I would not have guessed BNA would be doing better snow total-wise than many along I-44 heading across I-70 into Indiana. This won't hold up...but for now, it's an interesting map in time. 
    sfav2_CONUS_2021093012_to_2022011712.thumb.png.c05833b677ec8d3416b785318d19e3b0.png

    885c3d5f0d380197a020c66c69ef34a6.jpg
    Maybe for banter but poor Chattanooga lol. I hope we can cash in on something


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  5. Snow stopped at 3:15 in Ooltewah. Started back at 4:00 and coming down at a nice clip. Hoping for 3 or 4 more hours of snow. Radar looks decent. I'm still amazed that Hixson, which is 15 miles as the crow flies, is still rain and hasn't seen a flake.

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    Has officially changed to snow in red bank. FINALLY


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  6. Downtown hasn’t fully switched over either. My mom who lives in Georgetown about 8 miles north of Ooltewah has an inch in about an hour.


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    That’s awesome. Hope it changes here soon it’s trying slowly but surely. Meanwhile my wife is in Miami so I’m having to track those storms


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  7. Mesoscale Discussion 0257  NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK  0229 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021  Areas affected...far northern Mississippi into Middle Tennessee  Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely   Valid 251929Z - 252130Z  Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent  SUMMARY...The threat of severe storms including tornadoes will  increase by late afternoon into Middle Tennessee and persist through  the evening. A watch may be issued by 21Z.  DISCUSSION...Surface analysis currently shows a warm front into far  southwestern TN extending east/southeast into northern AL.  Meanwhile, another warm front extended from the developing surface  low from southern IL into central KY.  In between these two fronts, gradual warming is taking place, with  temperatures now into the low 70s F. MUCAPE currently remains below  1000 J/kg as a result of dewpoints near 60 F.  Strengthening 850 mb winds out of the southwest later today should  aid moisture advection out of MS into Middle TN, with areas of  heating helping to destabilize as well. Shear will become  increasingly favorable for tornadic supercells in the 21-03Z time  frame, and a few tornadoes are anticipated as the mid 60s F  dewpoints arrive later today. With the more unstable air in place,  effective SRH may reach 400-500 m2/s2.  ..Jewell/Hart.. 03/25/2021


    I give them some credit. They do a good job of explaining what’s going on to the average person. Although in this situation (as well as some other situations) their arrogance comes back to bite them. As soon as they post that the SPC says we are right in the thick of it.


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