I always have liked to watch model trends and it rarely has let me down below 72 hours. I get the high is pushing a bit more on the GFS but its important to see what the model is doing at the surface vs 500mb. The GFS still is trying to enlongate the low and not have a nice clean transfer and that effects winds at the surface and aloft. The focus needs to be on the low closer to OBX vs the low out in the ocean. it has big time implications as to how and where a deformation band can set up. It is definitely catching up to the idea but its not there yet.