Waiting on snow

I just shit in the litter box and named it winter 18/19!

I'm sure that's a false statement. I'm sure winter weather is over. But we all know the NAO will flip negative mid March through April. It won't be cold enough for snow but 40 degree rain it'll be. Spring won't spring until May!

Wouldn't surprise me one bit. Times have really changed. Decembers torch, with the exception of this year and Fab Feb is a lost cause anymore. Leaves us Jan only for winter anymore.

It's time to face it. It's just not our year. Not that many are, but this one is exceptionally bad. Some years refuse to produce in certain areas regardless of how good thing initially look. I'm still in awe of how this turned out after an early start and so much promise. Sooner or later you'd think the se would have good winter again one day, but sometimes I wonder.

Stop drinking the kool-aid man. Winters over down here. I'm sure the Mid Atlantic will score but us? Not convinced.

Just sad. May as well be 70 from here out. We'll end up with the same result anyway. Snowless!

So what are you saying? We shouldn't want to have 2 to 3 legitimate threats to track? Even in the SE that isn't a lot to ask. I'm amazed how active the STJ has been and how we really haven't torched but outside of 1 storm absolutely nothing. No, that's not normal even for the SE.

What a dead ass place in here. Sad for the heart of winter. Yes I know we had the December snow and it hasn't been a torch really. But man if this winter isn't a dud for storms. Absolutely sad that outside of Decemeber we've had no threats. Some of the warmest driest winters are more entertaining than this crap fest.

Couldn't have said it better myself. Most know this isn't a snowy place. But its not too much to ask to be above normal on snowfall for once. Instead of endless above normal temps and half of an already minuscule snowfall mean.

The regular GFS just picked it up too.

The only thing Mack will be rolling out is a spreader with pre emergent. Lol

True but it ain't the 60's and 70's anymore either.

Now its finally got a clue. You can take that to the bank. Or maybe it follows its trend of being dead wrong like it has all winter. If that's the case we're in business. Its crap too and why anyone puts faith in it baffles me.

JB's bed

Each day I'm more amazed how we ****ed this winter up. Neutral to weak Nino, low solar, record NA snowcover in Dec. Yet we still screwed it up. If we couldn't make this year work you have to wonder if we can make any work again.

The failure of the Nino to develop and the tropical forcing (MJO) mostly focused in the warm phases doomed the forecasts. Had that not been the case would it have been different? Maybe, maybe not. I'm convinced the NAO is the problem here and I'll argue anyone who wants to argue that. And I'm not sure if the Nino and MJO had cooperated that it would have made a difference. History doesn't lie. Late 70's, 95-96, 02-03, 09-10 all big blocking winters and all colder and snowier than average. Sure, it snows without it, and can snow big. It may not cause bigger storms necessarily but it keeps cold highs in place, slows storm track and keeps storms south somewhat. Give me that anyday and I'd roll the dice over this fast, progressive, timing systems up with the high pressure over the ne rocketing out to sea pattern of late.

I do too. But most years after Feb 15th it's over down here. And it's clear we'll get to Feb 15th snowless. So I'm sorry if I offend anyone wanting 70 degree weather. I'm thankful for my early December snow but I accept that I'm getting nothing else and I'm ready to put winter behind me.

Most of us don't live in the northern foothills. Just sayin..

Speak for yourself. I don't enjoy watching rain headed my way.

It is this day and age. Always happens every year now. This is the hardest place in the se to snow.

Lol somebody in the Carolina's will hit 80 in Feb. Mark it down its happening.

If you are a weather forecaster in the se and want to be accurate, all you have to do is forecast above average temps and below average snow and you'll be right 9 out of 10 years. And you'd look like a genius without ever even doing any research at all because no matter how much appears to be in our favor the se will always find a way to be warm these days.

You'll be highly disappointed relying on him.

JB? You're kidding I hope. He knows how to spin it to sound good. There is no damn way he even believes anything he says. He just has to go down with the fail boat. Not a snowball's chance in Columbia SC his negative 3-5 departure even comes close.

He is right you know? Not that we can't get a transient chance like next weekend. But I'd say the hope if a sustained period of good opportunity and tracking is long gone. And why would anyone believe any model with a huge block anymore? Its shown that all winter and never comes. Why is this different? Hell it's been teasing a block for years. Theres something seriously hampering the NAO in winter months and faking out the models. Obviously something we don't know since the programming of the models always miss it.