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KoalaBeer

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Posts posted by KoalaBeer

  1. Looks like Charlotte Iowa just took a direct hit. Significant CC drop on that one. STL bound storms thankfully petered out some. The recently TOR warned storms in Arkansas are concerning for the Memphis metro downstream. That storm that went through Covington might be the one of the outbreak…maybe the most significant outbreak I’ve tracked since 2011.

  2. 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    Seems an easy guess work that this spring has a chance to be above normal severe accounting ... what, with the semi permanent unflappable f'n western trough?  wait'll the diabatics of April solar inferno kicks in the big dawg CAPEs.

    Can't think of a better leading persistence --> cyclic earth carving twister events...

    Going to be a busy day, upgrade to tornado driven high risk incoming.

     

     

     Mesoscale Discussion 0390
       NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
       1037 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023
    
       Areas affected...portions of southeastern Iowa...northwestern
       Illinois...and far northeastern Missouri
    
       Concerning...Outlook upgrade 
    
       Valid 311537Z - 311630Z
    
       SUMMARY...Portions of the Moderate Risk over southeastern IA,
       northwestern IL, and far northeastern MO will be upgraded to a
       categorical High Risk in the 1630 UTC Convective outlook.
    
       DISCUSSION...An upgrade to a tornado-driven High Risk (30%
       probability) is expected for the 1630 UTC outlook. Environmental
       conditions are quickly becoming favorable to support the potential
       for numerous strong to potentially violent and long-track tornadoes
       across portions of southeastern IA, northwestern IL, and far
       northeastern MO. Please see the forthcoming Day 1 outlook update for
       more information.
    
       ..Lyons/Smith.. 03/31/2023
    

    3311highrisk.jpg

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