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CheeselandSkies

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Everything posted by CheeselandSkies

  1. Had to take my Corolla to work today since my wife with her 4WD SUV also had work this morning. Almost got stuck trying to make a right turn due to all the compacted slop piled in the intersection, fortunately I was able to reverse out and take an alternate route. Also, don't be the guy in front of me in the thumbnail.
  2. Getting dry slotted here in south-central WI. First round turned the Interstate near the state line into a s***show.
  3. Helped clean the secondary roads up a good bit ahead of the next round. Me and my FWD sedan will appreciate that as my commute is short but follows a quite hilly, curvy road.
  4. MKX now has a warning out for all of their counties.
  5. Timelapse from my porch window yesterday afternoon: Shameless plug, please subscribe to my new YouTube channel (deleted my old ones in September). I'll eventually be re-uploading my Keota and other weather-related footage there.
  6. We've been close to or in the sweet spot with this one for a while...and surprisingly that hasn't really changed. Should be interesting when I'm trying to leave work around midday Friday. @madwx I just realized how similar our avatars are ever since I changed mine to a frame from my Keota tornado video; horizon and debris cloud are at about the same level, only difference is my foreground is drab brown since it was taken in March.
  7. Not trusting it, merely commenting on it.
  8. That 18Z HRRR gives some parts of southern WI and far northern IL nearly 1" in an hour toward the end of the run with the snow far from over. Sorry, south of I-80 (possibly even I-88) folks.
  9. 12Z Euro deepens 8 MB in 6 hours, from 981 at 18Z Friday to 973 at 00Z Saturday. Wasted QPF, bad ratios or not, a storm of this intensity is going to have significant, varied, and dangerous impacts across a large area. There could even be a storm surge in much of New England/Long Island with that strong, broad southerly fetch blowing into the low Friday night.
  10. 06Z GFS does this weird thing where it moves the low southeast on Friday morning. 992mb over central MO at FH054, 989mb over the AR/MS/TN confluence at FH057. What gives? 12Z NAM looks $$$ for WI and western to northern Lower MI.
  11. Not bad consistency on placement and intensity 36 hours apart:
  12. Getting under some of the heaviest returns of the event here. 8" reported at Muscoda, WI.
  13. So the question is, why does the guidance (across multiple models and multiple ensemble members) keep showing them until relatively close in time?
  14. Nice. I'm mentioned on here previously that during the winter storm of early December, 2009 when we got about a foot of wet cement (I can only guess what ratios were, but definitely less than 10:1), my dad had a snowblower attachment for his John Deere 112 garden tractor, but being a single stage it was useless for throwing that stuff.
  15. Is that a 2-stage (has a blower inside the chute in addition to the auger)?
  16. I joined this board in 2017 and I think this is the first winter where the mantra of "January will be rockin'" might actually come to fruition, at least starting in the first half of the month.
  17. 2 MB from Janesville to Madison, that is quite a gradient. Winds will be cranking with this one.
  18. Because it is a big dog. ...at least, it should be for someone. As to who at this point is anyone's guess.
  19. Euro is high end across a wide swath of the region with the multiple systems through Saturday 1/13.
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