tunafish

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

I did ask a former marketer at Jay and he didn’t know of any spots, confirmed the sort of old school crowd sourced range method between grooming, patrol, skiing around.  I did that when I started here but it’s stressful, ha.  Easier to have something tell you what it is instead of hemming and hawing “how much do you think this seems like?”

TK thinks we are low even when I show him the actual measurement lol.  Was hanging with him last weekend, love skiing with that dude, the enthusiasm is hard to beat.

Which also plays into snowfall… skiers love snow, get excited, want to be stoked and I won’t lie, I bet 90% of skiers on a powder day would over-estimate snowfall.  “Dude, that was so deep, had to be a foot and a half.”  Plot shows 13”.  Ha.

Just like we’ve seen with weather weenies, sometimes excitement gets the best of everyone and I’ll admit, without seeing it on a stake I would estimate higher too.  It’s human nature.

A plot keeps me in check.  The number of text convos we sometimes have that are like, “man it seems like so much more snow.”  “No dude, we report what’s on High Rd.  It is what it is.”  The three of us gut check each other occasionally that way throughout the season.

Thats how estimates might be 12-18” in the old school style, but turns to 13” these days.  And you see the seasonal total drop over time.  And skiers think both are correct, because they are for the most part.  It’s just different ways of doing it.

Good stuff. Thanks.  I'm sure TK is a blast to ski with.

I've found its not just skiers who over estimate.  Neighbors and friends will ask how much snow we got, because they all know i do it for PWM.  I'll say 6" and every time it's "no way, that's at least 8 if not 10 inches".  I'm thinking...You all see me out here in the middle of the night like a madman, that's not just for fun - I take pride in the accuracy of my obs.

Great post, PF.  

FWIW I asked TK about Jay as their 171" seasonal total on 1/16 sounded high.  So I asked him (online) if they have a set spot or not.  

"They have three set spots.  Not sure of exact details.  But I have been following along for decades and this year some of the estimates actually seemed a little low." 

On 4/20/2024 at 3:06 PM, wxeyeNH said:

We have had Bluebirds for years, but not many. A couple of years ago they started wintering over. We put Bluebird nesting houses up too. They seem to be increasing in numbers.

 

We put up several a few years ago, but cannot keep the Sparrows out.  Bluebirds try to establish residency, but end up getting bullied by the sparrows.  How do you keep them out?

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Every time I read these drive by statements about an AN month, during a month that clearly "feels" cool I wonder about CC acclimation skewing perceptions. 

Not being above that myself, this month simply feels like a cold p.o.s. to me - which based on what I just said, may and probably is not entirely fair.  LOL.  

I think I have a personal bullshit bias I'm stuck with that we're supposed to be getting these Mar/Apr crazy warm episodes now, based in no small part on the fact that 7 out of the last 10 years have hosted early bud pushin' orchard killin' false expectation inducin' warm bursts.

Perhaps this year we are getting to the same AN result, just doing so along a more aggregated, yet tamer SD dailies ? 

Some of those years that had the weird 80 days really early, also put down a cold week with heavy snow later on, too.  More spiky perhaps...

Haven't looked to see what's driving this April's departure, but you could argue that if you're not awake at night to experience the departure, it'll still feel cool in an AN month. 

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Shut em down 

18 hours ago, tavwtby said:

got a off weather topic for all you who partake in the edibles etc...my wife's source is no longer carrying her favorite space bar chocolate edible, can anyone point my to where I might be able to find them, she's got a legit gluten allergy so those were the only ones she was able to eat without issues. Appreciate any info. thanks

Have some recommendations for Maine, but not where you're at.  Best bet (aside from a recommendation here) is to download the Weedmaps app, and look at the dispensaries in your area - they'll have their menus so you can look for GF options.

Maybe not day 10, but how about day 14?

More snow in April (8.0") than Feb/March combined (6.3") for PWM.  Can't imagine that's ever happened before.  

Neat stat.

As you were.

5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah thats a good point.  Being mentally prepared for it is half the battle with traffic.  I can't think of any other event where people are like "I just saw it and then waited in traffic for 10 hours... and I'd do it all over again in a heartbeat."

Only one for me was Coventry VT in 2004.  12-20 hours of stopped traffic on 91N (essentially a big party), and then everyone parked and walked 20 miles to get to the phish festival.  That experience alone was one I'd sign up for in a heartbeat.

52 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

Great point. The eclipse experience was an open door for millions to share in our collective humanity. That’s why people love it so much, largely because that door is rarely opened in our current society. Imagine if responsible use of psychedelic drugs was the norm. World would be a better place. 

100% agreed.  Everything in moderation & responsibility (as you noted) - but agree completely and well put.

Hopefully it's encouragement to get out and talk to your fellow humans in real life.  A good reminder that the divide is only how one perceives it, especially if your perception is driven entirely by what you see and read online.  And, a really good reminder (as someone said earlier) that we're (us, individually, right now) a microscopic spec of dust in an ocean of space and time and the human plight means nothing in the grand scheme of things.  If you don't get that perspective through psychedelia, this is as good and as close as you'll get.

GFS OP had this from 300+ hours out and never really wavered.  

19 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Just stay within 5 miles or so of the Jetport. 

It is amazing the difference across town. The previous observer was in North Deering (not far from where I am).

You know, that almost gets me to the Gorham line.  I could do that.  

The differences can be stark, in any direction, across town, for sure.  I do worry sometimes about continuity of records given my location compared to the previous observer.  But I think if you were to compare my CoCoRaHS observations from 2018-2021, I'd be pretty close to the official obs (at least statistically). 

Once in a while there'll be a season (or big event) where the difference is statistically significant, and that stinks, but what can you do?

And give up my obs duties?  Never!

But seriously this is a deep, internal conflict I have.  I LOVE doing the obs, but I hate that I'm 10-15 miles away from a much better weenie spot.

PWM obs

00z - 0.7"

nada at 05z

12z - 0.4"

Event total is 8.0" which includes a total of 2.80" liquid - both rain and snow.  Depth is 5"

Season total is 38.0".  That's going to put PWM #9 on the least snowy winter on record list.  Impressive considering 2 weeks ago we were post equinox and sitting at #1.

It's still snowing lightly but I don't think we're picking up another 0.6", which would bump us from #9 to #10.

Not surprised.  This is going to end up on the higher end of damaging winter storms (non coastal flooding related, at least).  

I was half joking earlier about there being a f-load of eclipse-seekers on Monday.  Going to be even more of a disaster now.

Back under anice 20dbz band here after 30 minutes of SN-.

33F SN

PWM 18z obs

2.4" new | 6.9" total

0.77" liquid | 1.97" liquid total

Currently 33F SN-

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Lava is going to pull 24”+

Death, Taxes, and Lava meh-ing his way to 2 feet.

Here you Phil phreaks go...

5 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Almost 33K now

330K here now 

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Man some potential though

YUM

4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Will that pivot up to here?

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk
 

I don't see why it wouldn't.  Been on a consistent trajectory since it moved off BOS.

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Although lets see what that stuff off PWM can do.

that's gonna be the best rates we've had all storm

@OceanStWx

With these heavier/convective echoes moving towards us, will they be sleet/rn or flashover to snow? 

305K Customers out now for ME.  Only about 850K customers in the state.  Pretty siggy %.