STILL N OF PIKE
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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE
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He basically didn’t even mention Worcester county elevations . (Berks and S VT )ORH airport to you looks good for a few 10-2pm
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Temple to mason and west looks good lol
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Awesome ice covering trees at Crotched mountain all evening into 11pm. Trails were spring like but interesting the trees above 1800’ were solid shimmering ice . Somewhere over 1/4 inch as many branches hung down . Was there for midnite madness
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Went skiing tonite at Crotched mtn . Was surprised to see the trees shimmering w branches hanging heavy in decent ice The ice line was approx 1800’ at 2k it looked awesome
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They trend looks done since 12z
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Gonna be close in the hills down there
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Reggie better S of Pike and worse N of route 2 same trend CT/RI do well (away from immediate coast )
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I think that’s a good question lol Head to Norfolk
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Nam is 1” QPF pike south .5 QPF line rides NH/Ma border
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I think That was modeled well . We needed rates for first 1/2 of tubs anyway . This thing just never seems to organize well anymore . Many runs had a 6 hour period of .5+ QPF after 0z for areas N of pike into SNH . That appears gone as does the CCB so lol ..we take em down and see if this reverses
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Euro is flaccid outside of isothermal WAA thump for S and SW areas of SNE tracked for days and it craps out on QPF couple days and is basically shreddy and weak over 18 hrs for Ne mass to Ash . Was solid inch for a while now it’s like .7 with no 3 hour period above .20 them are the breaks It appears Im hoping folks in CT and RI score on WAA thump
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I will be impressed if any map remotely gets this correct
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12z HREF mean has 6”+ for the watch areas And 4-6” from Fenway and a few miles south all the way back to nearly parallel MA/CT border
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12z HREF mean and max show the difference for most if Part 1 blows or blows up The mean is weak sauce and 1-2 for N CT and 2-4 for Berks and 1-2 N of pike with exception of SE NH as at this point run only goes to 0z Monday the max shows a big 4-6 stripe for Central CT across center RI and then a bit less north to you get N of Ma pike and basically hits Berks and ORH and W Middlesex hard 6-8 thru late Sunday eve
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Pray for a big ole WAA thump or bust I think you have a decent shot for one
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So they have a few accumulation templates lol
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Gfs blows 3-5” on kuchie region wide 6” in berks but i do realize this is war as far as backyard weather
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Looks like they finished them off making that map
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Those Berkshire channels probably act like N orh county is so far away they don’t even care to try
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Doesn’t appear so . 12k nam says not much tongue action in gives front end thump to areas south of pike . That would seem to contrast things . 12k nam would pick up a big tongue , no? Just need big rates bc the airmass is garbage Sunday
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Do you have any gut feeling on this system what’s the 12z KDENDY say
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Yup I can’t even imagine having to put out a forecast . Given that I believe there is usually more forgiveness overdoing accumulation (as long as at least advisory falls ) then saying 2-4” and people getting 8” with outages lol . Still the smart lean seems conservative for now given uncertainty’s over both parts
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I mean ..there was a ferocious WAA Thump in NW NJ S interior NY and Extreme west CT a couple weeks ago but models always seem to struggle with it . That system sure wasn’t crap .
