Matthew70

We really need to get some more soaking rains.  It’s drying out quickly with these winds & warmer temps.  

18 hours ago, Carvers Gap said:

When we see it get hot in April, look out.  Looking like a potentially VERY hot summer on tap - starts early and ends late.  I think we are looking at May to mid-October w/ AN temps.  Hopefully some cooler weeks thrown in to buffer what could be a scorcher.

With all the cicadas thrown in

Not wx related but I saw my first red salamander today here in Smyrna.  I thought it was a lizard till I researched what it was.  Unusual to have them in this area from what I read.  Guess they are expanding their presence. 

I am liking the seasonal outlook for May/June/July with above temps but also with above precip.  Give me afternoon thunderstorms to sit on my screen porch to listen to. Also keeps the grass & everything green. 

Sadly Taiwan has been hit by 2 back to back major earthquakes. 7.5 & 7.4 

Thankfully all the ingredients were not there & this system was more hype than bite.  Always good to be prepared.  Wx will never be fully predictable.  

Stay safe East TN friends.

3 hours ago, nrgjeff said:

Tennessee could have beaten Purdue. All those 12-15 FT jumpers for 2 points were just awful shots with low expected value. And lots of time on the shot clock to boot. Yeah try a 3 if open. Otherwise go inside and get fouled. I'm pissed. Though a Kansas guy, I've gotten attached to Tennessee basketball. Still a great season for the Vols!

Congratulations to Alabama first Final Four in school history! Fans just have fun and soak it in. UConn is a tough assignment. Players should not fear UConn. Fans manage expectations and enjoy it. That's easier said than done though. Wichita St. 2013.

As a BAMA fan.  I am just happy to experience happiness in March/April Madness!!! lol! I don’t see us beating UConn but stranger things have happened.  

11 hours ago, Carvers Gap said:

The PV is spinning in the opposite direction of normal.

https://www.space.com/earth-polar-vortex-spinning-backwards-above-arctic-reversal-event?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=socialflow&utm_medium=social&utm_content=space.com&fbclid=IwAR0suogUmLsbHb98dCeLpcitxDzb5WMWimd91WXvLsnPbzOnCIpiooI8CB8

Well that goes along with everything else spinning backwards. Lol.  Bring on the cicadas!  Lol.

Really hoping we start getting more rain.  This wind & warmer days is drying things out quickly.  I was digging yesterday & the ground is pretty dry. 

Disappointing there will be a hard freeze Monday night.

17 hours ago, Itryatgolf70 said:

A SSW has occurred and is effecting us this time. Cohen said main pv will be on our side. Late season cool shot.

Of course.  That’s TN springs anymore.  Cold rains. 

Well I say, winter is now over with except for a couple of cold spells and the normal blackberry Dogwood winters.  Hopefully we don’t have a killing freeze. Except for one week in January this winter was a complete sham..  

Looks like winter is over with for the lower elevations.  Now we hope to not have a cold snap to kill the spring growth.  Also appears wet times are ahead for the area. Hopefully any severe is DOA this spring.  

On 2/15/2024 at 1:27 PM, Carvers Gap said:

Masters of the Air has been really good.  There was a 75% casualty rate for the 100th.  50% of our WW2 airmen never made it home.  I cannot imagine getting into a plane, dealing w/ -40 to -60F temps, being shot at, maybe bailing out of a plane pulling crazy Gs, and then if you were lucky, limping home in a badly beat-up Fortress and changing gears mentally to exist in a place that had no idea what type of tempest you had been in just 4-5 hours earlier.   Courage doesn't begin to describe what they did.  

I saw a guy pumping gas w/ a ww2 veteran license place last weekend.  Just doing the math, he was probably 95+ years old.  He looked every bit of it, but he pumped his own gas in his truck, hopped into the driver's seat, and sped off down the road...I couldn't keep up.  

Definitely worth the watch

10 hours ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

The strat has done that with every attempted warming this winter. Sad.

I have to admit @Carvers Gap I'm losing heart. Crocuses and daffodils now spring where the elk once trod. Trees are budding out on top of little Brushy mt. The MJO avoids the western hemisphere like Dale Farmer avoids Boozy Creek. 

I told myself after the "el nino" tongue-in-cheek comment I needed some time off until the weekend, but I can't not check on Americanwx yet. Too early. 

But even today's February bowling balls hate us and want us to die :

I think we even have some sort of a pseudo Norlun trough over the Carolinas aimed at Damascus VA 

 

 

 

I grew up on my family’s farm just outside Damascus 

I feel like nature is hard to predict these days.  Seems everything is reverse of what it should be.  This winter was to be a backloaded winter & instead we had 1 week in mid January.  From MJO to teleconnections we keep adding or finding something that affects the weather patterns.  I remember in the last 2 years it was supposed to be a hot dry summer when it was the opposite.  Nature sure is bipolar! Lol. 

Cold springs seem to be the norm anymore for this area.  I agree winter is not done & we will have some cold.  Just hopefully not everything starts blooming then a cold that kills all the blooms comes along.  March is my least fav month.  Plus March lately has produced severe wx I won’t no part of.  I hope to never see it again here but I know that’s not likely.  I believe tornadoes follow certain geographical boundaries.  Like they rotate back to that area every so often.  Well where I live the clock is ticking I know.  We are due for one to come thru here.  Murfreesboro has been spared many years now.  To me it’s like earthquakes.  I consider tornadoes following fault lines though they really are not fault lines.  Eventually earthquakes hit the same areas as will tornadoes.  Sorry for the rambling. 

Warm with sharp cold fronts usually lead to severe wx.  I can do wo that type of wx.  

1 minute ago, Carvers Gap said:

We get the 12z GFS southeast jog, and then we get this....

There will be no weather posts next July from me.

One thing is for certain.  BAMA will be mid tier.  OSU & TX should be the teams to beat.  They bought the most players & we’re not even done yet.  Players can transfer after spring practice and after 3 games next season.  At least EA sports should be more realistic. 

Once we get pass Saturday the wx looks really good for end of February.  Mid 50s to 60s.  Unreal last few years seems we have one week of winter & that’s it.  Definitely the wx patterns have changed. The environment has changed a lot. Things will be blooming early this year meaning most likely will be killed by a freeze. Ugh.  I already have bushes to cut back again from the damage from week in January.  

3 minutes ago, jaxjagman said:

ripping

 

https://g1.ipcamlive.com/player/player.php?alias=brentwood201173a

Sure is pretty to see.  So peaceful. 

Snowing officially in Smyrna! Sure is beautiful.

We have had some good thunder the last two days here.

College football can burn at this point.  Bama had Grubb as their OC all of 3 weeks. Lol.  None of these coaches are going to stick around when the NFL calls.  Just wait till spring & after the first 3 games of next season. The portal will be beyond full.  The teams now paying millions will only increase their payouts.  Ohio State has bought their championship.  Texas right behind them. I see Sanders, Kiffin, Kirby, Haupel all going to pros in next 2-3 years tops.  Why work 365 days when in pros you work 5-6 months a year.

If you have not read what Locksley said about it all.  Go read it.  A 3rd string RB asking for $100k!  lol!