MikeB_01

No cool air in sight, i'm done wishcasting snow. Bring on the Spring! 

A little under 3” so far here. With the last push here I’m hoping I can get over 3.5


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Certainly is beautiful


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Im trying to catch up, but I like the trends. Like @Mailman said, clippers tend to overachieve. With a good trend and keeping that in mind, I’m feeling positive about it right now.


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1 minute ago, Rd9108 said:

Maybe the models bust hard.... not likely 

ahh the positivity. Never ending hope. 

Honestly though, its not a crazy solution. A slight tick NW and we are in it. 

Just now, CoraopolisWx said:

At least this board has always doubled as a weather enthusiast/support group location. lol

I don't know what i would do without you guys. No one else understands my frustration (or excitement --> when it happens)

the SREF trends are comical 

23 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

We need some phase to get the NS involved though to get the cold, 6z GFS was really close to perfect, get that whole progression to happen a little faster and further SW and it bombs right over us vs central PA and look out. There in lies the the thread the needle aspect though, there aren't any other features to buy wiggle room, so it all has to time out perfectly which makes it even lower odds than normal.

But dang... 

Missed posting about this yesterday....

is this a Cat 2 hurricane over Delaware?

im bored 

this is me every single time i start the watching the run of the GFS and don't even see a fantasy storm. This pattern is rough. Hoping second half of February can bring something to cheer for. 

54 minutes ago, donyewest said:

I would beg to differ, credit to Brian Brettschneider @Climatologist49: 

maybe im not understnding these charts the way they are suppsed to be understood, but i did the same thing for Des Moines, IA (an area highlights but -50% snowfall). This is what I got. 

30 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Keep in mind that data is subject to smoothing, and there can be variances. The linear regression at PIT over that interval is actually positive, with a slope of +0.05" (or a gain of about 2.5" over 50 years). But most locations around us are negative, and substantially so. Cleveland, for instance, shows a negative slope of -0.29" per year (or a loss of about 14.5" over 50 years). So it's sensitive to start and ending dates - 1973-1974 was a historically bad winter for Pittsburgh, but not as bad elsewhere.

16 minutes ago, PghPirates27 said:

Hit 50.5 Today!

I think i saw 52.0° AT 2:51 at KPIT. 16° above the average

Anyone peaking at sunday? Not a ton of cold air, but the GEFS is better than the Op GFS. 

1 minute ago, TimB said:

Also, glad we missed out on the freezing rain, but is there a reason the advisory is still going? We’ve been above freezing the whole time, haven’t dropped below freezing, and won’t drop below freezing.

Its interesting how far off the HRRR was on the temperature for this morning... 

I think because there are some stations (PWS) hovering right around freezing, they will leave it as is. My PWS was 32 this morning. I only had sprinkles and it wasn't freezing, but the temp read 32°

1 minute ago, MikeB_01 said:

Our climo says that we get a 12" storm once every 14 years. We have had some 10"s, but has the airport gone over 12" since 2010?

 

Sorry if this question has been answered a bunch of times before

never mind. I just answered my own question

Our climo says that we get a 12" storm once every 14 years. We have had some 10"s, but has the airport gone over 12" since 2010?

Sorry if this question has been answered a bunch of times before

5 minutes ago, TimB said:

Mid 20s tomorrow morning seems too cold.

It does. HRRR seems to be alone in this thinking 

Take a look at the sounding for the HRRR. Brutal temp profile for ZR. 25° at the surface. 

1 minute ago, Rd9108 said:

Believe it or not we are around an inch above normal for snowfall for the month of January. Last year only .9 inches fell compared to 9.9. We are still way behind the average to date but Febuary and March could be rocking after this break in the pattern. 

I like the positive mindset. 

2 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Dropped to 8 degrees on my weather station. Low of 9 at PIT. 

I had 3° on one of the car thermometers this morning. The other read 5°

Is that another band SW of the city I see?

Looks like more radar development https://imgur.com/A4PMmkG