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SENC

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Everything posted by SENC

  1. 28? Tornado Reports? #Outbreak? Wow.. I read somewhere there was just a SLIGHT chance for #severe WX in those areas today?
  2. NChailstorm says I don't wanna to play into the Climate Change debate,, Please here... Look up Grand Solar Minimum .. In other words.. It's going to get COLD as _____________________ AND possibly Lotsa record SNOW! This coming up,, gasp Winter! Like that October Dump from last year X2?
  3. good video here.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=duppqAm5Biw
  4. Humidity & Dewpoints have increased In the past Day & half.. 76/83 With Dew points & humidity respectively, 84% & 85.7.. Our "warmest" Day forecasted tomorrow. WSW wind @ 10 to 15 MPH.. Then come numerous T-Storms & Washed out Surface front.. with precip values around 2" to 2 1/2 inches.. Hope ya'll "Inland" can get some the "Showers" ya'll need it.. Currently Clear, at 81F.. 9:30 PM
  5. @DownEastnc, I watched a video that says in essence, We are entering "Phase #6" and Well be in a "cool period"? for the next 60 Days or so? Thoughts?
  6. Well this is Interesting... Moreover, Arctic mid-summer temperatures, north of 80°N latitude, have dipped to near freezing over the past days. This is likely in large part linked to the cold North Atlantic sea surface temperatures we’ve been witnessing. All this suggests ocean cycles, and not CO2, are the real Arctic drivers. Snow and ice climbing past decade The cold polar temperatures are naturally having an impact on Arctic snow and ice. Japanese blogger Kirye tweeted here that Arctic sea ice volume is currently at the 4th highest level since 2003, thus defying the dire alarmist predictions of Arctic sea ice disappearing by now. ------------------------- 40-year veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi at WeatherBell’s Saturday Summary shows how the Earth’s surface has cooled dramatically over the past three years and that Arctic sea ice is piling up. http://notrickszone.com/2018/07/15/global-sea-sea-surface-temperatures-have-seen-pretty-dramatic-turnaround-says-40-year-meteorologist/
  7. Again in JULY.. 67/80 today.. I'm loving it!
  8. Same Obs from Wilmington also, (I could see the about same from the Beach).
  9. 67F & clear here @ Carolina Beach NNW~NNE winds 8~15mph.. Expected High today around 84F Ya'll have a great Day!
  10. I'm thinking Grand Solar Minimum But what do I know?
  11. Wait a Gosh dern second... I started reading the Articall. This caught My eye.. [QUOTE:] This occurrence may also be responsible for a steady increase in salinity in the Barents. In other words, this sea is becoming more like the Atlantic than the frozen North.[/quote] Then in the introductory paragraph, you have this.. .. What Kind of Parsel Tounge is this?
  12. WUT? You musta posted before the "White-out" rain(s) & Storms yesterday afternoon...
  13. Current "Sea~State" on the Beaches.. Rip current advisories are up.. Careful, IF you plan on coming down in the next few Days, (Especially OBX beaches)
  14. Afternoon folks! WHAT a YUGE relief from the HEAT this Early July! Well deserved for ALL of Us in the SouthEast! Walked out the door this Morning, @ 5:30am, WHAT a WELCOME Respite! It felt like Early Fall. After nearly *Whiteout* "Heavy RAIN" conditions yesterday as T-Storms moved though AND putting on a Awesome Lightshow.. Picked up nearly a 1 1/2" yesterday IMBY, in short order.. (Yes; My RICE Paddie is doing quite well).. Just before sunrise, 69.9 F breezy conditions. Currently 79F here on the Beach, partly Cloudy Humidity & DEW IS AT 77 & 70.9% respectively. Winds are out of the NORTH @ 17MPH gusting too 25 mph or so.. Beach water temp, (at Johnny Mercers pier, Wrightsville beach) is at 89F, , Yes you read that correctly, Bath water temps.. This VARIES up & down our local beaches, in Carolina Beach it is at 84F. Turned off the AC this morning, (IT was cooler outside than indoors!) Opened the Winders, airing out the Home. Fishing is beginning too enter the summer Doldrums, though the King & Spanish Mackerel bite is "off the hook" with-in one mile off the beaches, Lots of reports of YUGE KING Mackerels exceeding 30 pounds up to 50 pounds have been common in the past couple week(s).. Spanish Macks in the 4~6 pound class. There have been SAILFISH caught & sighted off the Local pier here,and MANY caught with-in one mile off the beach.. Now get this! A Guy caught a MAHI~MAHI While fishing a Bottom Rig, Fishing for Red Drum , ON THE BEACH.. There's even been a few Bonefish caught here in the area(s), Almost unheard of! Anyhoo, sry for the lil OT posting.. Here's that pic of the Mahi~Mahi caught ON THE BEACH!
  15. I DO NOT buy your "forecast".. not when this happens in JUNE.. WINTER STORM IN JUNE: Special weather alert issued for East Idaho calling for cold temps, frost and mountain snow https://idahostatejournal.com/news/local/winter-storm-in-june-special-weather-alert-issued-for-east/article_dc54e8ba-6b70-56ae-897d-88463857d5e3.html
  16. Good morning... seems Moonsoon rains are back into Our (local) forecast(s)… picked up about a Inch yesterday, a 1/2 the Day before.. More forecasted in the next few days.. currently, 70 too (who knows today).. It's a WAG... I found this interesting for this week.. (BANTER).. I've NOT seen any of this talked about in the *western* states forum.. Though it is interesting.. IN JUNE? Winter Storm warnings? https://idahostatejournal.com/news/local/winter-storm-in-june-special-weather-alert-issued-for-east/article_dc54e8ba-6b70-56ae-897d-88463857d5e3.html
  17. 76/86 for lows and highs today.. Looks like We flipped Winter into summer, by-passing spring with lotsa Rain..
  18. KILM... Short term /Monday through Monday night/... as of 400 am Sunday...the time frame extending from the start of this period, 6am Mon, through Tuesday daylight morning, the local forecast area will see nearly a continuous shield of light to moderate stratiform type rains. Embedded in this shield of rainfall, will be a few thunderstorms. For the most part, the tstorm activity will occur over the Atlantic waters and given the trajectory of the swath of pcpn moving onshore, the coastal counties will be the 1st in line to experience a few of these storms. As the pcpn moves further inland, the lack of instability will keep tstorms from further developing or in this case, from progressing too far inland before it's demise. Models indicate an expansive area of strong uvvs across the forecast area and surroundings for a good 24 to 36 hrs. This a result of synoptic difluence aloft due to the positioning of the upper closed low as it moves from the lower Mississippi Valley Monday morning, to eastern Tennessee late Tue night before finally opening up to a S/W trof by Wed. Model soundings indicate 50+ kt east to southeast winds pumping in low level Atlantic moisture across the Carolinas. Gulf of Mexico moisture will have already been and continue to be tapped but by this time the main source will be Atlantic moisture. Forecast rainfall amounts during this 2 day period will range from 2 to 4 inches. Isolated higher amounts are possible mainly along the immediate coast due to the onshore movement of any convection before dying out as it pushes further inland into a more stable atm in the low levels. This modest rainfall amounts over a 2 day period will be extremely beneficial to farmers and local growers. Crops, plants, trees and etc, will literally act like sponges and absorb this water. And given the 2 day period of these rains, we do not expect high runoff problems.
  19. SUMMARY...A marginal tornado/wind damage threat is expected across parts of southern Alabama, the Florida Panhandle and far southwestern Georgia this afternoon. The threats are not currently expected to be great enough to warrant watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows a 1010 mb low across southern Mississippi with backed southeast flow across much of southern Alabama, southwestern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. Surface dewpoints in these areas are in the mid to upper 60s F and the RAP is estimating SBCAPE values in the 750 to 1500 J/kg range. In addition, the Fort Rucker, Alabama WSR-88D VWP shows a curved hodograph with 0-3 km storm relative helicity around 300 m2/s2. This suggests that the stronger discrete cells will rotate and could have a marginal tornado and/or wind damage threat. In spite of this, a large area of cloudiness and rainfall is present from the Florida Panhandle northward across much of Alabama. This should limit any further destabilization and should keep any severe threat marginal this afternoon. Nevertheless, we will continue to closely monitor the situation.
  20. Decided to put this in Banter, instead of the Long Term Disco.. Does this bear Watching & recording? Year without a summer? Per Se?????? Well; I actually mean, a COOL summer? at least until Mid~Late June? In science terms... Are we entering, a Maunder Minimum? Re: Low to No Sunspots, & Solar Minimum(s)??? Since the Topic: is Long range/Term Discussion... WHAT IF: We are entering a period of a "Solar Minimum"? I'm asking a very HONEST & Valid question... In all my 55 years on this Rocky Ball, I cannot remember *EVER* cool temps like this.. This Late for SouthEastern N.C. ALWAYS,,,,, BY THIS date, APRIL 20TH, I'm FISHING,, OCEAN CREST PIER , (Oak Island) and We are catching KING Mackerel & Spanish.(On or about this Date for years!, ).. (Since I stared King fishing in the Early-Mid70's),,, Yet the water temp, (even there)is 58~59 today.. Kings & Spanish preferred temps are 68 & above.. So a HONEST question.. What does the Long Term look like beyond 10 days? We have temps forecasted here in SENC, not even breaking 70 till next Sunday.. (10 Day) forecast. Are We entering a Solar Minimum? I ask because there are "numerous" Science articles out there like this one from 2017.. Solar Minimum is coming.. https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/news-articles/solar-minimum-is-coming How would/Will this affect OUR Long Term Weather outlook this Summer/Year? Sorry Mods.. I'm HONESTLY asking for a reasonable answer/discussion..
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