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adk

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Posts posted by adk

  1. About 2.5" wet paste on the ground (and everything) in BTV. Was 0" when I left the house at 5am, and when I returned at 9 there was about 2"...so it snowed pretty well this AM.  I'd say 6-10" as you gained elevation. I'm sure that 10" is 12" now. 

    Feels like NWS should have gone with a WWA for the champlain valley for this one. I know temps are "warm" but this is messy slippery snow that is falling at a good pace. Much snowier than I expected BTV to be. 

  2. Heavy mid-layer deformation band snows currently rotating through NE ADK and NW VT (Champlain valley). About 2-3" on the ground in BTV with bouts of heavier flakes. heaviest snow is just north it seems on the radar. Colchester on through into Franklin County look to get pasted good. ADK getting crushed. 

  3. 12 hours ago, powderfreak said:

    Things very few on here care about... 

    But looks like a nice 4-6 hour period of favorable upslope conditions along with some additional vorticity tomorrow evening/night across the NW upslope zones.  Could see another 2-4" of fluffy snow with that feature by Saturday morning.

    I care. 

    West side weenie event IMO. Blocked to start. Though even fewer care about that. 

     

  4. 49 minutes ago, timnc910 said:

    she has really been getting better organized over the next few hours. alot of models have florence strengthening a little before landfall. with recent ir and visible loops i don't see why it couldn't happen

    Yea, the NHC was very clear that this evening she was moving out of a shear environment and over warm waters with favorable conditions to strengthen. Not unheard of for a storm to ramp up a notch just before landfall. I recall Charley doing that just before landfall. Charley jumped from a messy Cat 2 to a very intense organized cat 4 in like three hours - right next to Florida. 

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  5. I think all the focus on the strength at LF misses the point. With a stalled forward speed the amount of rainfall on the Piedmont of NC - where there are actual hills that funnel water - is going to be catastrophic.  I was just in Japan where a weak tripical system offshore earlier this summer killed 200+ people from rainfall and flash flooding.  If this thing makes 10+ of rain in central NC lots and lots of terrible things will happen.  Way overshadowing the impacts on the coast. That's not changing regardless of the max intensity at LF.  

  6. On 12/30/2017 at 7:09 PM, powderfreak said:

    Still rough out there.

    I just checked Snowbird and it says 41F right now, 39 of 170 trails open, 94" on the season.

    I've measured 99" at 3,000ft on Mansfield.  Also, considering they need like a 5/6-foot or deeper snowpack to even think about opening a lot of terrain, they've got some work to do.  It can change so quickly out west at those snowy areas like Alta/Snowbird, Tahoe, etc.... they can put up 100" in 5 days and change the game.

    They are having a terrible winter. Sorta the flip-side of our intense cold. They are way above average temp wise with a big broad ridge over the western half of the US.  Utah has historically almost never gotten a true 2015-2016 stinker. So it should flip for them ....prob right around the time we get a week and a half of cutters. LOL.  

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