Evening thoughts remain unchanged from yesterday. The mean cyclonic center of the storm is sufficiently off the coast that I think steady deepening will occur over tomorrow as it meanders near the Yucatan. I can easily see a strong TS approaching hurricane status before it turns northward.
Once it turns north, you have an excellent setup for a major hurricane strike: deep ULL to the west and high to the east, with a poleward jet developing on approach to the coast. While the ingredients are not identical, there are several hurricanes with this type of setup that have deepened upon approach to the gulf coast / FL peninsula. Still like my call of a major into the area just north of Tampa.