SouthBuffaloSteve

Hey guys I’m back from vacation!  What I miss???!!!

So where does this storm rate?  77 would take the top spot but in my lifetime think most impactful storm order would go 

October 2006

November 2014

December 2001

November 2022

December 2010

Media posting is so hard on this board.

Few of my more favorite shots from the storm.  I ended up being just north of the bullseye zone on the south side of the metro and had to watch the cloud band most of the time.  Still ended up with an impressive 42.0” over the 3 days so hard to call it a miss, but wasn’t “the big one” for me.  

Was I being too greedy when I made this or was I just being realistic?

Few shots of the band over the lake from downtown earlier.  Had the distinct wall appearance.

7 hours ago, Weather Mike said:

When do you think there will be a good consensus on where the main LES will form ? 
 

thanks 

Probably about as close to a call as you’ll get right now.  Might see some small flips and flops but immediate metro area looks to be best bet.  Some options right across street from airport.  Also a hotel near the Walden Galleria mall a little south of there and then even a little more south in West Seneca some places near the I90 exit.  If you have any questions on places or the area toss them up here. 

4 hours ago, Heisy said:

I could leave late Wednesday and drive there all night. If I’m able to call out Friday then I wouldn’t work again until Sunday at 6pm which I probably wouldn’t be able to move. I don’t know if it’s possible to get back to Philly by Sunday. Are they able to clear the roads to make them at least passable to get outside the LES effected region? I own a normal sedan. Unless I decide to rent a truck/SUV.


.

Depends if your coming up to camp outside the band and try and venture into or if your looking to setup shop under the band and be in ground zero.  If it’s a 2 footer or less things will be cleared up fairly quickly to leave town but if we’re going to experience extreme rates like in Nov 14 you will likely become stranded for some time, possibly more than a day.  Also important to note the main thruways will all likely be closed just prior to and following the storm.  This does look like it’s going to be a big one, if you can get the time off I would highly recommend the trip up.  

Sizzle… 

42 minutes ago, brentrich said:

GFS and EURO says what torch? It's showing bunch of low 80's so how is that super torch? Just stop trolling for hundredth times. Thank you. 

Did I ever tell you I’m a fortune teller?  

Stop trolling!  The temp was 32.2 C which is only 89.96 F.  Trying to manipulate the numbers with rounding.  

I

12 straight 90+ Days for him early/mid August. 

1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said:

Another day of disappointment coming for the Niagara frontier. Lake Erie is going to shadow us again. It’s soooo dry…gahhhh

Think we will see some spotty downpours roll through later tonight as the cold front pushes through.   

90 at BUF today!  What a scorcher to start the summer!  

Sunday is looking to be a little bit sizzle sizzle.  

16 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

Meso models actually did really well with the Rochester and fingerlakes area.  Almost nailed them to a T.  Not too shabby.  I thankfully got .45" of rain which is better than nothing.  UR must have gotten almost 2 inches and some small hail.  

HRRR was spot on with the WNY cell.  Few miles north and 2 hours early but placement was spot on!  

On 6/21/2022 at 3:06 PM, brentrich said:

Dude, stop F trolling, you know it wont happen. We will not see any 90's this week. God just stop trolling, thanks! 

90+ second day in a row in Rochester.  The sizzle is on!  

Already approaching 80 at 9am.  Think the forecast will verify!  

6 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

Looks like a few inches for the higher elevations east of Ontario overnight through morning..

I still can't get over this map... Legend runs 0-96" but I've got to separate 4 shades of blue for amounts under 3"? 

9 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Bingo! But it’s still fun to watch. Active, cold pattern. The chance is there. I wouldn’t rule out a final snow storm. 

Always need to count on the mid-late April final season ending snow.  Had just shy of 5” last year on April 21st. 

Up to 67 already at 10am.  Sky clearing up nicely after that miserable looking morning.  Maybe squeak in a storm of two here today?  Looks like a chance around lunchtime and then again 5-6pm.  Could go for a nice thunderstorm.

1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Going to Ireland next month for our anniversary! 

Nice.  Took a trip there back in 2008 had a blast.  What destinations are you planning to visit?  

Thought this was an interesting graphic.  Most of the deep interior NE actually ran a colder max low on this data set, with the exception of that little nub SE of Lake Ontario.  Warmth pumping back up the Mohawk Valley?  

1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said:

Lol...we only get heavy training precipitation when it's rain. During the winter if it's below freezing, the precipitation falls off the hills from the south and vanishes. Three winters in a row. But next winter will be better................. Right? 

I don't believe in voodoo crap but this is all on you, no other explanation.  Cuse is top dog every year, never see consecutive crappy winters, let alone multiple consecutive ultra crappy winters.  The snow bust is purely on your shoulders.  Just wonky...