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leo2000

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Everything posted by leo2000

  1. leo2000
    Lol, I would trust them weeks 3-4 are always terrible. MJO is hard to predict that far out it may just go into the COD.
  2. leo2000
    The Weeklies weeks 3-4?.
  3. leo2000
    With a strong -EP0 ridge in the medium range, I cannot see this positive EPO setting up. Also the El Nino base state argues strongly against it as well as the warm blob in the North Pacific.
  4. leo2000
    It seems to be moving forward in time though which is a good thing. It means less likely to happen a hostile Pac that is.
  5. leo2000
    Rather disheartening for snow and cold lovers such as myself if this is true from Cranky on Twitter Long Range Weather Been talking about it plenty even prior to our parade of cold snaps. The Asia jet is now the Pacific jet and it is a strong zonal one.We have a full basin moderate to trending strong El Nino. Our rather classic split flow.The shitty NAO ensures we have cutters and not an endless parade of I-95 blizzards as twitter always intends to mislead you to.
  6. leo2000
    The -EP0 has trended stronger, a stronger alaskan ridge in the latest 00Z Euro Ensembles shown by twitter Met Ben Noll. So we have that going for us too.
  7. leo2000
    Unless you have a strong negative EP0 and a strong negative PNA.
  8. leo2000
    Oh does any one have the 11-15 day EPS? Because the GEFS is not showing it. Neither is the CFS weekly and monthly. The GEFS has us in the freezer.
  9. leo2000
    It looks very temporary. Recent 12 EPS ensemble showing more cold air pressing forward more quicker than the 00Z EPS ensemble. The GEFS would agree as well bring the cold back by Dec 5th.
  10. leo2000
    Don't lose hope yet the GEFS isn't showing the one eyed pig, also the CFS weeklies are also not showing it. We shall see what happens. The GEFS has been performing better than the EPS in the long range when it comes to features up in the far north.
  11. leo2000
    Is that the pig with the reds north?
  12. leo2000
    I heard more bad news from Raindancx in the Enso forum saying we are heading into a moderate El Nino and some models are now showing a Strong El Nino. We shall see.
  13. leo2000
    The CFS sub-weeklies have been performing much better than the Euro Weeklies in weeks 3-4.
  14. leo2000
    Stick with the Euro Seasonal. The Euro Weeklies have been awful with their track record for the last couple of months. The CFS continues to show good signs for snowy and cold weather into Dec-Jan and February as well.
  15. leo2000
    I very much doubt a winter like that would ever be coming. Mother nature don't work that way. If anything we are overdue for a wall to wall cold snowy winter.
  16. leo2000
    Not always I have seen you guys getting hit by a coastal then we would also get hit afterwards.
  17. leo2000
    Need to get rid of those cutters need more coastals.
  18. leo2000
    How do we lost the NAO blocking?. The NAO is still negative right through the period. Also, we have a strong Scan ridge causing blocking and Greenland blocking as well. All credit goes to Michael Ventrice on Twitter who posted this!. I notice it now its gone but still high heights way up north.
  19. leo2000
    Never mind I was looking at this ( All credit goes to Tropical Tidbits) Instead of this and yes the temperatures are colder for the 23rd of November. It does look like we try to relax afterwards though. Especially, by the 28th onward.
  20. leo2000
    Are you talking about the 12z Euro?. The 00z Euro shows mild air coming in.
  21. leo2000
    Very interesting times ahead the NAO going negative to very negative. A very strong Scandy ridge, negative EPO and negative AO as well. The Vortex is taking big hits this year. Will take even more with the blocking that is setting up.
  22. leo2000
    It's been a long time since we have had a wire to wire winter.
  23. leo2000
    I wonder what the implications of this will be for the Northeast/ Eastern Canada pattern?.
  24. leo2000
    We are overdo for a wire to wire winter. So I think that might be possible for this winter.
  25. leo2000
    Looks like the cold might lock in through all of December than a relaxation in January then back to cold February and March. According to the new Euro Monthlies.
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