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leo2000

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Posts posted by leo2000

  1. 4 hours ago, Hazey said:

    Maritime storm update. Snowfall in my place is 15” (38cms) and still snowing. Probably will get a 20 spot out of this. Cape Breton destroyed. It’s Sydney’s White Juan. 2-3ft down and 1-2ft to go. This will be a generational storm for eastern parts of NS. Chase worthy.

    I was curious what would happen if an atmospheric river set up in winter. Now I know. Pic from Cape Breton with lots to go. Wild. c61cdcb98c7e4b30b1389bcf512de86f.jpg

    Yes indeed its absolutely insane with the amounts of snow. 

    • Like 4
  2. 2 hours ago, Weather Will said:

    WB latest EURO weeklies look good for late Jan. Early Feb.

    IMG_2742.png

    IMG_2744.png

    IMG_2743.png

    Unfortunately not happening with that MJO phase 4 wave. The pacific ocean has been really cutting our winters short the last 4 years with a pacific firehouse, -PNA and the MJ0 lag in the MC. 

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  3. 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

    It’s a temporary relax. The winter’s over nonsense was started by that clown Cohen. It’s a temporary response to the MC forcing as the mjo progresses and the epo ridge sliding over into Russia. The tpv temporarily traverses the pole but it’s still weak and will get displaced again quickly once forcing gets out of the MC imo. 

    Not just him but bluewave on the New York forum too. MJO strong wave in Maritime Continent is not where we want it. 

    • Weenie 4
  4. 2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

    If we all just accept that December is a fall month and that winter is January to March 15, then we’ll all be better off mentally. 

    But November is now a winter month and doing better than December is. 

  5. 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

    It appears BOS stopped reporting snow depth after the 2003-2004 winter. So I have no idea what station they are using to determine anything past December 2003 for snow depth and white Xmas.

    We obviously know 2009 had snow there but in more marginal years, I'm not sure what they are using. I don't even think 2010 was that marginal either.

    The problem is it looks like a brief -EPO as the subseasonal models want to bring back a +EPO and negative PNA. 

  6. 14 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

    you’re getting towards something better at the end of the 18z GEFS. got a trough undercutting N Canada ridging… you can get a wave break in the ATL and send that ridging towards Greenland. that’s what happens on the OP

    IMG_3675.thumb.png.b1cfd25596abcbefb822fbd4a219e1e8.pngIMG_3676.thumb.png.0ed4f69e237b4b6e135fbf6be45d718e.png

    Yes that would fit MJO phase 8 pattern. I wonder if the charts were wrong about the MJO stalling in phase 7 as the charts are now showing it moving into phase 8. 

    • Weenie 1
  7. 29 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    This may be the warmest day 10-15 EPS signal I ever saw for Canada this time of year. 
     

    334B0511-6CEC-45C4-B807-A65BF6528280.thumb.png.86caf886aaf7922f5ee437b8f82542c5.png

    By looking at those temperatures you would think it was an inferno nowhere close to that. 

     

    eps_T2m_namer_61.png

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  8. Just now, ORH_wxman said:

    The pattern right now is almost a carbon copy of Dec 1994 on the longwave look....I don't think we get out of it until late month.

    I was just looking at the GEFS chart for the mjo shows it going to phase 8 just around Christmas it has sped it up. 

  9. 14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    Another near miss epicocity on the the 23rd/24th in the GFS

    Haha that has been showing up a lot in that period. Something to possibly watch depending of course if the Canadian and Euro also has something brewing as well in that time period. The problem of course very little cold to work with unless it generates it's own cold.

  10. I am going to need a big bottle of Jack Daniel's to get through another December like this. Seems like a gruesome ugly cycle to have this same old ugly pacific pattern everytime right before the holidays. We have been going through this for 5 years now. 

  11. 3 hours ago, Rjay said:

    Bluewave has no bias imo. 

    Snowski does this stuff every year lol 

    Bluewave shows warm anomalies across the country doesn't mean it can't snow. What you don't see there is the actual surface temperatures. 

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  12. 1 hour ago, CAPE said:

    Latest edition of the Euro weeklies. Pretty much the same pattern progression as other extended products on the Pacific side. NAO neutral/slightly+. Around the 10th and esp beyond, the pattern turns colder/ more favorable.

    1673913600-Su71x9cLZsI.png

     

    I don't believe them sadly they were dead wrong about the so called good pattern continuing. 

    • Like 2
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