brentrich

22 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said:

Welcome ...been waiting for others to join me on the go big or go home train. Time to get above average temperatures with a monster storm mixed in. 

And now it's not there anymore. 

Per CFS - it's showing cold March/April. 

33 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Any snow doesn't matter for depth. It's March next week. It's go big or go home time

With PNA going positive and AO going negative in 2 weeks. Also there is a high chance PV will split so I don't see warm happening in GL in March/April. 

No SE ridge, looks to be a cold March in the NE. 

7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Enjoy enjoy this storm. The southeast ridge is making a comeback in March 

Only for few days then cold will be back. 

Winter is not cancelled at least until mid April. 

1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

 

Winter says. Hold my beer. 

Why are you guys giving up on winter already. Usually if we see early warmth, it's going to be the oppsoite for March/April. There are several signals that AO will go deeply negative in 2-3 weeks. We have a shot of seeing 1-2 monstor snowstorms in March.  

Do you think great lakes ice cover has shot of hitting over 80% in next 2 weeks since GFS is showing well below average for NE for next 2 weeks. 

2 hours ago, Leelee said:

CFS has been suggesting that long-term big eastern warmup for weeks. It has to happen eventually though with the oscillations that smart people talk about.

I'm not sure what you're talking about. That's a pretty good signal for -EPO at hour 240 on the EPS and around ~216-240 on the GEFS. That ridging in the NE Pacific is what we could call a -EPO. If there was a trough there it would be a +EPO. Now for real cold you do need that ridge to build northward more for cross-polar flow, but with it being 240 hours out that's completely on the table. The main issue is that it is 240 hours out and can completely change by then. 

Who would want to wash car in February, what a waste of $$$$$ Wait until April/May. 

1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

First map out

It will be much higher than that. Give it 2 more days and snowfall totals will be 2x more. 

First call:

Buffalo - 21"

Rochester - 30"

Syracuse - 5"

Albany - 2"

16 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

We know it is trending SE guys. Let us enjoy the modeled snow for 10 minutes!

Not SE, more of SW. 

1 minute ago, wolfie09 said:

For the last time it's a 3 day warm up dude, no one is saying it won't be cold in the LR..If the euro is correct it will be in the 50s on Friday for CNY..

This will cause snow to melt. 

Tuesday

Partly sunny, with a high near 38.

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44.

Wednesday Night

A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday

Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Ha ha I know. I'm kidding. I have solid 10 inches of snow in Rochester, NY. Hopefully it doesn't go away 100%. 

Judah Cohen said February will be brutal cold month so where's the blowtorch guys? 

24 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Well, he is probably referring to Syracuse, where it's ALWAYS a blowtorch 5 to 10 degrees warmer than everywhere else during a thaw.

2 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

CPC picking up on the potential warmth.. Just "leaning" as of now..

I'm not seeing any blowtorch? Stilll showing 3 days of low 40's then back to 20's. Again I was right! 

28 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Soon blowtorch come.

Short-lived warmth. 2-3 days tops then back to frigid for several weeks. 

Cold is here to stay in next 2 weeks and no end in sight. Feb 2015 repeat? 

1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said:

Ugh I get the feeling the pattern breaks hard in February and we just torch like wild.  It doesn’t look good and makes sense. We will have had about 6 weeks of cold before it happens. 

There is no signs that pattern will break down in 2 weeks. So far the models are showing cross-polar flow & deeply negative temperature departures for the eastern US, most likely well into March with a delayed spring. Hot & bone dry out west most (if not all) of the time as well. Back to the ridiculously resilient ridge pattern!

Final call 

Roc - 19"

Syr - 5"

Buf - 13"

Looks like Rochester, NY is in the jackpot zone - high chance Roc will get 24" of snow. 

5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Lets do this. let us get 3 feet of snow in a short time so we can move on to spring!

There will not be a spring until early May. Trust me. 

Winter is cancelled this year so stop tracking guys!