lakeeffectkid383

Can definitely see the much larger eye taking over it’s just a matter of how long it takes. Also now definitley starting to take on a more annular shape.

122kt at the surface in the SW eyewall on the latest dropsonde.

Last few frames on radar show them falling apart, and fast. Will be lucky to get a few showers out of it..

Beautiful up there. Used to go to Clayton, NY every summer for vacation but haven’t been up there in 4 or 5 years. Definitely want to get back up there sometime soon as the Saint Lawrence is one of my favorite spots in all of Upstate NY. Watching the barges from the dock that seem like they’re 5 football fields long slowly move down the river is one of my favorite memories, along with the fishing, boating, watersports, shops in Clayton and A Bay. Enjoy your trip!

That’s long range cooldown that was being advertised on the GFS is long gone now with the last several runs consistently showing mid and upper 80s persisting right through the middle of September with no cooldowns in sight. Can someone make this stop, please?

Yeah this weather is totally brutal. I work a lot indoors and outdoors depending on what my job assignment is for the day. Today was mold remediation in an attic which involves wearing a Tyvek suit, full face respirator, and heavy duty chemical gloves. Actual air temperature inside the attic was 130 degrees, needless to say I likely lost about 3-5 pounds in pure water weight even with taking breaks every 15 minutes. Fall weather can’t come soon enough, heck, even average temperatures with lower humidity (mid to upper 70s) would be a welcome break at this point.

Can this happen in 3 months from now please?

My father in law in Wyoming sent me this link from the NWS Cheyenne. Absolutely incredible.

Today was unlike anything I’ve ever felt before. A 111 HI was truly something I never thought I’d experience in Buffalo. You could literally walk outside for 30 seconds and just stand there and you were dripping sweat. It was unreal to experience and something I will remember forever.

Weather station in the shade is at 98 degrees with 75 degree dew point making it feel like 111. I can tell you this is the hottest I’ve ever felt in my life anywhere and I’ve been to Florida and the Carolinas in the middle of summer many times.

92 with a 78td. Feels like 110 here.

I don't think KBUF makes it past 92 tomorrow. I'll go 92 for BUF, 98 for IAG, 99 for ROC, and 98 for SYR. Highest heat index tomorrow I'll guess 101 for BUF, 109 for IAG, 110 for ROC, and 107 SYR.

I can tell you for sure this is the first time I can ever remember an entire week of temperatures forecasted at 90+. I can remember a couple 3 day heat waves of 90+ but never anything close to 7+. Unfortunately I think we could be looking at some serious illnesses for anyone who does not have air conditioning especially the elderly with how long this heat wave is going to last. Also could be power issues if everyone is using their a/c around the clock for a week straight so it’s definitley going to be interesting to see how we come out of what will likely (and hopefully) be the hottest part of this summer, and the longest heatwave I can ever remember.

That would be excessive heat warnings around these parts. Looks insanely hot around here end of the upcoming weekend beginning of next week. We’ll see if the models back down or not but that kind of heat would be something we haven’t seen around here in a long time. The 12z GFS has a high of 97 degrees at KBUF on 7/3 which would be the highest temperature recorded since 7/15/1995 when we also hit 97 degrees. Would be a once in a generation type heat so very excited to see if the models can stay consistent on this.

Incredibly soupy. DP of 74 here is about as high a DP as I can remember for this area.

From my Father in Law who lives in the Antelope Ridge subdivision of Laramie. Tornado was about 1/4 to 1/2 miles away from his house. I’m

Even through Friday night I highly doubt any of us below 1000' west of I-81 see 6" or more. At this time of the year it's starting to get hard to accumulate during the daytime unless you have decent rates (over 1/2" hr). Last storm for example, it took several hours of 1"/hr rates before we started to accumulate on non grassy areas and that was at night time! I'm just not seeing it but I'd be happy to be wrong.

Think it's high here, right in the line of 4-6"/6-8". Think we see 4" if we're extremely lucky.

30 minutes later... what’s the verdict?

I don’t think it’s quite that high. The very far SE part of West Seneca near OP/Elma may average about 120” or so but I think where I am in West Seneca (Center Rd, near Wimbledon Plaza) averages closer to 100-110”. I’m really not that far south, and there’s definitely a pretty big gradient even just in West Seneca. I’m only 5.8 miles as the crow flies SE of KeyBank Center (what I consider center of downtown) and 7 miles south of KBUF. A lot of the early season events nailed the SE part of West Seneca while I got fringed or skunked. Here’s my location (the little red dot) on this average snowfall map for perspective.

Not sure what the exact average for West Seneca is but I’d imagine it’s somewhere between 100”-110”. I’m at 111.1” for the season so far so at least an average to slightly above average season as it stands right now.

Really cold here this morning with the snowpack and clear skies. 9 degrees currently.

Working in Fredonia today. Looks like about 16-18” here and there’s trees and power lines down EVERYWHERE. Nuts.

Almost 11” here. Not bad

Wow, you got double what I got. Just crazy for only being not even 10 miles away during a synoptic event, same elevation...