lakeeffectkid383

19 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Looks like Feb 2015 here. Those were the days. 

I was in northern RI during that timeframe. Was epic! 

Well over 8 inches just NW of Providence. 
 

5 minutes ago, Master of Disaster said:

There is zero possibility that eye is 20 miles across imo. The eye contracting has been noted for at least two hours. Anyone have a way to measure the distance from eye wall to eye wall? I am curious if sat and radar actually show this or if it just looks that way? 

About 12 mi wide.

About 18 hours away from landfall give or take. 2mb drop in pressure per hour puts this thing around 940mb by landfall. 

34 minutes ago, weatherbo said:

Just measured this on my driveway which was back to asphalt yesterday after 2.5" of snow night before last.

MQT as of 7 am had 10.5" with 2.00 liquid, so ratios running  just over 5:1.

So storm total around 16.5” so far for you? 

15 minutes ago, weatherbo said:

Been snowing since about 2 am.  WPC and models both indicate the possibility of up to 3 feet of snow right around here with 5+ inches of qpf.  

Heading to town for geni gas because I can see where this is headed.

 

 

How much do you have down so far ? 

Up to 44 confirmed deaths from the blizzard now. It’s crazy that’s 16 more deaths from this storm than the blizzard of 77. 100,000 more people lived in Buffalo in 1977 than today. There were no cell phones and social media to alert everyone to the second about how bad the storm was going to be. Just horrific. 

Fort Meyers gauge now back above previous high sitting at 8.3 FT

3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Can see the wind shift coordinating with the surge drop. https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8725520

Makes no sense. Latest winds are stronger than they’ve been in a while from the WSW which would funnel the water right up towards the gauge…

2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Looking at the IR meso loop, the presentation peaked about 30 minutes ago.  Since then, some of the colder tops and lightning have faded a bit.  Perhaps Ian has reached its max.

Lightning still plentiful on RadarScope. 

1 hour ago, brentrich said:

You guys having fun talking crap about me on discord?

Don’t know what your talking about. Barely even go on the discord. Place is TRASH. Nothing but TROLLS!

1 hour ago, brentrich said:

farmer almanac says no torch from late Oct to early May this year. 

Good thing it only had an accuracy rate of 45%, in other words worse than a coin flip. 

1 hour ago, Syrmax said:

Soon many torch come.  Australian XMas Wx in NY.  Golf and Shrimps on the Barbie.

As long as we can trick or treat in shorts and t shirts I’ll be happy. Hoping for a spooky warm torch ahead. 80+ for Halloween would be EPIC! 
 

The torchier the better! 

9 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

No matter the wind direction, Sizzlecuse torches. The lake doesn't do a dang thing to cool us down when temps are scorching, but it will warm us up when a cold front moves through. haha

Lol when it’s scorching the winds aren’t coming from the N/NW. Get what your saying though. Some relief will be nice but I don’t think it’s been too hot a summer at least here. Couple mini torches (like the one BuffaloWeather correctly called)  but that happens every year. 

6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

So the biggest snowfall this late in the season in 33 years…. 

Moderate snow here. Starting to coat grassy and elevated surfaces. 34 degrees. 
 

btw it was wonderful being in Florida for the last 10 days. As much as I love the snow being in the warmth and sunshine was even better. Sorry TugHillMatt and Rochester Dave, I’m on BuffaloWeather and Syrmax side with this one. We loved it so much we’re looking into jobs down there for once our boys are adopted later this year and likely moving down there the end of this year or early next year. 

22 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Should be dumping at @lakeeffectkid383house too

I’m in Florida of course 

Finished at 6.2” in Derby. Puts me at 101.5” on the season. Nice little event for sure. 

4.2” in Derby and dumping 1-2”/hr right now. 

2 minutes ago, PerintonMan said:

Gradient should be much sharper. Syracuse area could very well get 8-12", but in that case BUF-ROC is not going to be 4-8".

My guess:

SYR - 10"

ROC - 3"

BUF - 2"

My guess

BUF 3.5”

ROC 4.1”

SYR 4.2”

BGM: 7.7”

ALB 6.8”

Delta in VT 14.6”

KBUF map is WAY overdone IMO. 
 

38 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

Yeah if we get a dusting in WNY we’ll be lucky 

Yeah this ones cooked for us man. If we’re lucky someone sees 3” round here. 

Yikes not looking good for us westerners. Hopefully this thing will tick back northwest over the next 24-36 hours or else we barely see advisory snows back here. Looks great for BGM to SYR to ALB as they have some wiggle room even if this thing shifts further SE a bit or does trend back NW. 

12 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

UK

Would be borderline warning here with ratios but I’m thinking this is more of a 4-8” advisory event here. 

7 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

GEFS

Member 19 has 1” at BUF while member 20 has 2 feet + lmao.