The Iceman

picked up .78" on the entire weekend. If we hadn't gotten that slug of heavy rain last night, we would have had less than .25"... and of course the one area that saw heavy rain saturday night happened to be Camden during dead and company Beautiful day out there today for june 4th. Perfect day to cut out of work early and go play 9....

Weekend washout turned out to be a ten minute shower. Epic fail by all pros in the area. Not a single one was even close....

I'm pretty disappointed not one met in this area have shown this event for what it is... On and off showers with locally heavy rain. This was never going to be a washout like they were predicting...

12z NAM highlights the large bust potential on this weekend. Like I said in the other thread, this doesn't look like a widespread heavy rain event. Looks much more like a localized event where the areas that get hit by convection get big totals but other areas see next to nothing. widespread 3-6" just is not going to happen, and I can say that with a fairly high degree of confidence.

Couldn't have said it better. Having met Ray before at the Eastern conferences and reading his posts for 10+ years now, I have zero doubt that his measurement was legit. He's as huge a weenie as any but seriously one of the best amateur mets on the entire board(along with yourself). I trust his measurement much more than any john q public report that stuck a ruler in the grass at the end of the storm and called it a day. Now if this total was coming from a certain mountain in Tolland, CT, I'd be skeptical ...

Seems like SW NH was one of the big losers yesterday. My uncle said he finished with 8" in Swanzey. Congrats to all that hit the 30" mark!

My aunt and uncle's house has some elevation in the Keene area(Swanzey) and they too look like they are going to severely underperform on this one. As of 1 PM he said they have light snow with 2.5" on the day on grassy surfaces but on everything else it's basically white rain and has been since 8 or 9 this morning. They were forecasted 12-18". Radar doesn't look promising either for them to even come close to that. They are stuck in that screw zone sandwiched in between that band in VT that looks upslope enhanced and the death band in the SE part of NH through MA that doesn't look to get west enough to hit them. It actually looks like they'll be lucky to see 6"... This same thing happened back in the mid-late 2000's(I want to say 2005 or 2006) when I was up there for an event. I'll have to remember the exact date but it had to be a late December storm because I was up there for Christmas. Forecast was 14-18" with the possibility of 2ft but the same banding structure as pretty much today evolved and we got I think 7 or 8 inches on like 20 hours of light snow. Since it is mid march this time though, light snow won't really accumulate much during the day even if it is below freezing.

Uncle in Keene, NH says theres around 2" so far and that snow has picked up in intensity in the last hour or so. Weenie band setting up reminds me of the one that ripped through SEPA and CNJ last week. Had thundersnow for 3+ hours... Hope everyone that gets nailed by it enjoys and those not in it, take the road trip if you're close enough because you won't regret it

Mt holly has been great this year and even if they don't nail the forecast in the point and click, they almost always mention the chance of their forecast being wrong and give a terrific explanation of why it could happen in the AFD. Really they are my favorite forecasters by far and have a great track record of not only forecasting but educating the general public as well. I have learned so much from them over the years and it's such a shame that the guys don't post over here much anymore. Definitely miss their input.

Receiving 5.5" is significantly different preparation than a coating to and inch which is what he forecasted 24 hours out for us. And preperation regarding plowing and number of snow removal personnel for a 1 to 3 event (which he changed us to 6 hours before the event I may add) is significantly different than a 3 to 6 event for this area. It was a pretty big bust around here. I went out to a local bar last night and everyone I talked to brought up how wrong the weather people were about this storm and how no one was prepared for it. Just because he posts here doesn't mean we all have to suck on his nuts.

Yeah I was in his 1-3 zone that was coating to an inch yesterday afternoon and got 5.5". I really respect Glenn but he did not do well at all in extreme se pa and central jersey.

DTs final call map was completely and utterly wrong in this area. Pretty sure any of us could of done better. He's horrible forecasting for this area. He should stick to South Virginia and forecasting their annual 2 inch storms with the rare 6 inches every 10 years because every time he forecasts here he busts horribly.

I completely get it with him. Boring forecasts don't sell. By hyping everything up, it gets him page views and subscriptions.

i have doubts anyone sees 2 inches let alone 3. JB is clickbait nothing more.

Yeah Euro has been awful this year. considering no other guidance is showing this, i'd say it has a very low chance of occurring. seems like another thread the needle type set up and those rarely work in january let alone march...

Agreed, sub forums definitely fractured discussion on this board. I miss pre sub forum days when everyone just had their own observation discussion threads, and one giant thread on a certain threat. There was so much good info and good posters that I miss now from sub forums. It's a shame some people were too immature and backyard oriented to handle it.

we may be dead but at least the few posts in here are about weather. meanwhile the nyc subforum has turned into the sports forum.

oh man I'm 100% down for bringing back the weenie tags. I have nostalgia just thinking about it.

On second thought I don't know if I could handle reading yanksfan argue about rainfall on a day 10 model prog in a thread that is supposed to be the non banter thread. just awful.

basically these two sum up my thoughts. i think we desperately need more activity and combining forces would really add to the discussion, not subtract as long as the mods limit the banter in those discussion threads as I've seen has been done.

i'm one of those 4 posters and i 100% agree with you, but alas I am the minority and we have a good group of people here. wouldn't want to chase off the very few posters we have left.

definitely remember you from the sports threads at eastern...caps fan right? 2008 series thread was a fun one welcome back, hopefully you'll have more to post about weather wise in a few weeks

...who are you

Yeah I remember the chaos and would welcome it back compared to the 6 or so posts a day we get right now. But the majority doesn't want a merge anyway so it s moot point. Just wish this forum was much more active.

welcome aboard! i disagree with you though about the quiet only reflecting the weather. even when hurricane joaquin was a threat this year, this board was still dead for the most part. And that was with some models showing a sandy-esque repeat. There really wasn't much discussion of it at all and honestly, the NY thread was one of the more informative threads on the storm. That really changed my opinion on merging. I think it would work and during storms like that, I think having the two forums together would only add to the quality of discussion. Sure there will be some banter and add-nothing posts but if the mods over there are serious about cutting that crap out, then I think a merge would only better serve the discussion. There are some good posters in that sub forum and this one is certainly lacking red taggers. I just think a merge would be good for everyone on big threats, and we can keep our own thread over there for local discussion. It's at least worth a try.