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gymengineer

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Posts posted by gymengineer

    Jan 19th Storm OBS Thread

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said:

    This week has really woken me back up to pay attention to weather again. I stopped being active here after the last several times the rug was pulled out from under me and just sort of let the weather do what it will do.

    But this week I'm back and hooked on the excitement, and the kiddo has enjyoed the heck out of the sledding!

    Excited to see fresh snow on snow, I think I've only seen that once in my life? haha

    I am very glad that you are back; we've overlapped in years of posting.  I stopped being active here after the 2020/2021 season. There were so many actual Winter Storm Warnings issued that far unperformed that season that I just didn't feel like following the weather anymore. But, I guess this season is pulling me back as well.

    • Like 3

    Jan 19th Storm OBS Thread

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    If DCA manages 3” tomorrow, they’ll be past 50% of their seasonal climo. 
     

    Then, they would need 13.4” the rest of the season to get to 150%- doable in one storm if this season ends up ultimately following analogs. Or, with just 2 moderate storms…

    • Like 2

    Tuesday, January 9 Rain and Wind Storm

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Annapolis is forecast in the very short term to end up with higher water levels than Connie (1955) and Fran (1996). Isabel is first with the Chesapeake/Potomac Hurricane being second (1933), and this forecast for the upcoming high tide would be third.

    Cambridge, MD, is forecast in the very short term to end up with the second highest water level behind Isabel. 

    This storm is still playing out in terms of effects throughout the region. 

    • Like 5

    Tuesday, January 9 Rain and Wind Storm

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

    If those are the peak gusts at the end of this - the earlier modest model run gusts (other than the NAM) did exceptionally well. It's interesting that as we closed in today, the models got much more aggressive. 

    Just my opinion- DCA at 52 mph is a pretty impressive SE wind considering Isabel’s peak gust wasn’t that much higher at 58 mph. (Irene and Sandy’s winds were in more common directions.) IAD actually slightly exceeded Isabel’s highest gust there. The sustained winds were of course more impressive in Isabel. 
     

    • Like 2

    12/10-11 Disco / Obs - Rain/Snow/Wind Event

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    39 minutes ago, rjvanals said:

    Remember that storm which I believe was on Veterans Day of 95 that brought afternoon severe storms and then a massive temp drop that brought sleet then snow. Had maybe ~2 inches from that in Potomac 

    I grew up in Potomac and vividly remember this event as well. The severe weather knocked out power in my neighborhood before the flip. The winds kept being gusty after the flip so it was a very wintry couple of hours. Most of it melted by morning. 

    • Like 1

    Central & Eastern Pacific Thread

    in Tropical Headquarters

    Posted

    The Lidia (10/10/23 landfall), Norma (10/21/23 landfall), Otis (10/25/23 landfall) sequence has got to be a record or tied a record for most hurricane landfalls in a single country in that short period of time, right?

    Let alone the more astonishing fact of a Cat 4 and Cat 5 landfall separated by only 15 days in a single country- I can’t imagine that that’s ever happened in recorded history. 

    2023 Tropical Tracking Thread

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    9 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

    The lemon developed. Unclear what the next opportunity for TC genesis is but I think this is probably it for MDR systems. Once Philippe and Rina separate, one of them may thrive for a bit.

    13 NS since Aug 20 is a record.

     

    WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20)
    Named Storms: 13 (13)
    Hurricanes: 6 (5)
    Major Hurricanes: 3 (3)

    Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel (H), Ophelia, Philippe, Rina 

    Seriously, though, this is one of those instances where it feels like someone controls the weather, not predicts it. I mean that in the best way possible. Just wow. 

    • Like 1

    Tropical Storm Ophelia—Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Mid-Atlantic

    in Mid Atlantic

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