qg_omega

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

No, the Greenland block is still going strong plus we have a -EPO. That MJO 8 back in late March reset the whole pattern to more blocking with a stronger 50/50 low. This pattern maintains a backdoor nearby with only brief warm ups between plenty of onshore flow, clouds, and showers. Canada is starting to get cold after so much record winter warmth. Figures the relaxation from MJO 4-7 would wait until the spring. 
 

 

 

We are above normal for the month

lol, dont use the HRR at 36 hrs for severe weather in April in SNE:

Kinda cloudy

14 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

What + 1.5F does to clown maps. 

21 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

JFK gusted to 54mph so far, I think HWW criteria is 55+. I’m sure a number of areas met it so far. Not to the point there’s widespread damage but the “nasty meter” today definitely off the charts. 

sustained winds 40 mph or greater, for better than 1 hour - and/or wind gusts 58 mph or greater, for any duration.

Trees down on MTA tracks, Tuckahoe. Just passed it on Train

27 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Often over done honestly.

We have a strong inversion and cold temps, what am I missing

Not understanding the HWW

13 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

wtf is this? Drunk spotter? PNS says its a trained spotter. I can't find a single report on cocorahs, COOP, PNS of any snowfall, not even a tenth in CT or anywhere around this area. Let alone near 3". Also falls village is like 700ft. 

I drove past Lake Taghkanic today, lots of ice but little snow

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Interesting that parts of the St Lawrence River Valley is also bare on the north side of the storm.

 

What a drive this morning from Lake George to Westchester, just beautiful down the Northway.  Lots of ice around Albany

13 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

Glens Falls has to be over a foot

20 inches in the glens falls area, will see some areas over two feet

10 minutes ago, Redmorninglight said:

About 7” at camp 7am 19f at 1800’ asl. Similar at Gore when lifts started. Now a few more inches. Maybe 10” mid mountain. Small flake size. A bit of a sandy- type snow. Great for carving on a board. Plus more durable for Saturday ski traffic. All in all a terrific event. I hear more snow to south.


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Bit more to Gore east, we have 10 now at Lake George with a few more hours to go will wind up over a foot easily.  I was at Gore this morning was fun but exhausting

8 inches so far and coming down

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Was Cooler here..only 46-47…with breeze and more clouds than sun. Not so nice. 

AN

1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said:

What a difference three days makes.

ECMWF Weekly Forecasts from March 10th:

3/18-25:

3/25-4/1:

From March 13th:

3/18-25:

3/25-4/1:

Scale:

Weeklies are so bad with the phantom cold in the East @brooklynwx99

Gore Mountain 20 inches

24 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

This looks promising for upslope.

Gore reporting 18 on Summit, 2 inches at Whiteface and this is like the 4th storm this year which was similar distribution 

Another storm where Gore got slammed and whiteface missed

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Zero chance Stowe Village gets 9” but I know it’s hard fine tuning the elevational gradients.

Not sure man it’s pounding snow down to lake level here on Lake George

Elevation elevation elevation, March it makes sense but it’s becoming a common theme all winter

6 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Yeah a couple days in the '60s is not what I would describe as a torch. Sure, it's good bit above climate norms but it's not like anyone's going to be hitting the beach.

+25 but not a torch, just delusional

8 hours ago, SnowLover22 said:

Most of the snow will be occurring at night so that will help with accumulations. 
 

This is probably a more realistic map.

 

 

 

 

No, shows over a foot down to the Lake.  I think you want to be 1500 feet plus for this one

24 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Southeast Adirondacks getting the upslope cooling from forced parcel ascent in the marginal & lowest few thousand vertical feet.  Same with eastern VT hills and Spine during the SE flow phase.

It’s like the tide coming in on SE flow, then the tide going out on NW flow. Some zones do better on each specific flow/tide, others can hit on both.  Thats the forecasting challenge.

Agreed, Gore will do well on the front and greens will clean up on the back

Looks like 8 to 12 inches or more for the mountains Saturday night into Sunday

2 hours ago, WX-PA said:

La Nina here we come.

 

Cold in the GOA is brutal